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Binghamton at St Bonaventure

Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 1:30 PM ET at Reilly Center. Binghamton our rank 145 · 2-2; St Bonaventure our rank 218 · 2-0.

Who will win Binghamton vs St Bonaventure?

Logged before tip-off; never changed after it.

The model gives Binghamton a 61% chance to beat St. Bonaventure, with a projected score of Binghamton 67, St Bonaventure 63.

To winBinghamton 61%St Bonaventure 39%
Projected score67–63Binghamton, then St Bonaventure
Margin3.5Binghamton · no line posted
Total129.8no line posted
First half32–30Binghamton ahead 57%
Binghamton by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20St Bonaventure by 30Model: Binghamton by 3.5Binghamton by 30by 10by 10St Bonaventure by 30Model: Binghamton by 3.5

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Binghamton
BennettF · 34 min18.49.80.720+ 41%
PucciG · 36 min16.73.72.415+ 59%
BoydG · 30 min10.95.62.810+ 55%
BennettG · 26 min5.82.61.25+ 54%
St Bonaventure
MacDonoughG · 34 min10.92.61.910+ 54%
BoydF · 21 min8.93.50.810+ 40%
TrinkausF · 22 min7.64.31.110+ 31%
HayesF · 24 min7.44.30.85+ 68%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Kendall Bennett: Binghamton 49%St Bonaventure 51%

The white mark is the call with her: Binghamton 61%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsBinghamton without herChangeProjected score
Binghamton
Kendall Bennett3.749%−1265–65
Bella Pucci2.354%−765–64
Carletta Bennett0.659%−266–63
St Bonaventure
Brillana Boyd0.662%+167–63

Change is in Binghamton's win chance, in points. Scores read Binghamton, then St Bonaventure. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Binghamton 2-2LLWW

    1. Nov 11W 59-36at Colgate
    2. Nov 8W 79-73at Siena
    3. Nov 6L 63-90at Fairfield
    4. Nov 2L 40-63at Monmouth
    Last 4
    2–2, scoring 60.2 and allowing 65.5

    St Bonaventure 2-0WW

    1. Nov 11W 73-64vs Mercyhurst
    2. Nov 4W 68-56vs D'Youville
    Last 2
    2–0, scoring 70.5 and allowing 60.0

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    BinghamtonSt Bonaventure
    Points scored per 100 possessions91.8 154th89.3 190th
    Points allowed per 10091.8 130th98.7 269th
    Possessions a game70.6 312th71.2 265th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)43.7% 291st46.7% 111th
    Opponents' shooting44.3% 110th46.1% 216th
    Turnovers, share of possessions23.8% 206th23.5% 189th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses36.6% 40th31.0% 277th
    Free throws per shot0.27 8th0.24 47th

    The widest gap: Binghamton's offense (154th) against St Bonaventure's defense (269th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Binghamton 32, St Bonaventure 30
    First-half margin
    Binghamton by 2.0
    First-half points, both teams
    61.5
    Projected second half
    Binghamton 35, St Bonaventure 33
    Second-half points, both teams
    68.3
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Binghamton, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 4 · 27.2 scored, 30.8 allowed
    St Bonaventure, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 2 · 27.5 scored, 28.0 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Binghamton

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Bella PucciG3616.73.72.41.8
    15+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 49%
    Kendall BennettF3418.49.80.70.7
    20+ pts 41% · 10+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 48%
    Yanniah BoydG3010.95.62.80.6
    10+ pts 55% · 6+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 52%
    Carletta BennettG265.82.61.20.6
    5+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 43%
    Kameryn DorseyG245.54.53.00.2
    5+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 54%
    Ashley ReddG224.83.60.60.3
    5+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 24%
    Cam GaudreauG112.11.30.80.2
    34% to play · 5+ pts 15% · 2+ reb 34% · 2+ ast 19%
    Daysha SalgadoF101.92.10.30.0
    2+ reb 57%

    St Bonaventure

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Elyse MacDonoughG3410.92.61.91.8
    10+ pts 54% · 2+ ast 53% · 2+ threes 48%
    Mackenzie PettinelliG285.23.42.50.3
    5+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 42% · 3+ ast 44%
    Ivona DjikanovicG265.52.51.80.3
    5+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 52%
    Kyla HayesF247.44.30.80.4
    5+ pts 68% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 30%
    Ella TrinkausF227.64.31.10.4
    10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 30%
    Brillana BoydF218.93.50.80.4
    10+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 32%
    Diamond FieldsG172.41.80.50.3
    5+ pts 19% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 28%
    Kylie BuckleyF132.42.10.70.1
    5+ pts 19% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 16%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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