Rhode Island at St John's
Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Carnesecca Arena. Rhode Island our rank 62 · 2-2; St John's our rank 46 · 3-0.
Who will win Rhode Island vs St John's?
The model gives St. John's a 73% chance to beat Rhode Island, with a projected score of St John's 70, Rhode Island 62.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St John's | |||||
| PryorG · 27 min | 13.8 | 3.4 | 5.6 | 15+ 42% | |
| MooreG · 24 min | 11.1 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 10+ 56% | |
| WyattF · 25 min | 8.5 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 10+ 37% | |
| GrantG · 23 min | 8.3 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 10+ 36% | |
| Rhode Island | |||||
| HillG · 32 min | 13.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 15+ 38% | |
| StewartF · 26 min | 12.6 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 15+ 34% | |
| NewsonG · 25 min | 9.9 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 10+ 47% | |
| BorrellasG · 27 min | 9.4 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 10+ 44% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Ny'Ceara Pryor: Rhode Island 41%St John's 59%
The white mark is the call with her: St John's 73%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | St John's without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St John's | ||||
| Ny'Ceara Pryor | 4.7 | 59% | −14 | 65–68 |
| Brooke Moore | 3.0 | 64% | −9 | 64–68 |
| Sa'Mya Wyatt | 2.8 | 65% | −8 | 64–68 |
| Daniela Abies | 2.5 | 66% | −7 | 64–69 |
| Rhode Island | ||||
| Sophia Vital | 4.3 | 83% | +10 | 60–72 |
| Delanie Hill | 3.1 | 81% | +8 | 61–71 |
| Amaya Stewart | 2.8 | 80% | +7 | 61–71 |
| Martina Borrellas | 2.2 | 79% | +6 | 61–71 |
Change is in St John's's win chance, in points. Scores read Rhode Island, then St John's. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Rhode Island 2-2LLWW
- Nov 12W 88-38at Wagner
- Nov 8W 82-63vs South Florida
- Nov 6L 62-76vs Columbia
- Nov 3L 64-68at West Virginia
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 74.0 and allowing 61.2
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Rhode Island | St John's | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.6 46th | 102.4 55th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 89.1 96th | 83.4 50th |
| Possessions a game | 69.7 347th | 70.8 296th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.9% 53rd | 46.8% 105th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.2% 102nd | 44.3% 108th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.2% 153rd | 21.7% 49th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 38.4% 10th | 36.9% 32nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 222nd | 0.24 50th |
The widest gap: St John's's offense (55th) against Rhode Island's defense (96th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Rhode Island 29, St John's 33
- First-half margin
- St John's by 4.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.6
- Projected second half
- Rhode Island 33, St John's 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 69.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Rhode Island, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 36.0 scored, 28.5 allowed
- St John's, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 44.0 scored, 21.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Rhode Island
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia VitalG | 36 | 8.7 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Delanie HillG | 32 | 13.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Martina BorrellasG | 27 | 9.4 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Amaya StewartF | 26 | 12.6 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| 15+ pts 34% · 6+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Alex NewsonG | 25 | 9.9 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 43% | |||||
| Queen IkhiuwuF | 19 | 5.9 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 5+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 26% | |||||
| Amori JarrettG | 18 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Naiara Martinez QuintanaF | 12 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 71% to play · 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 61% | |||||
St John's
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ny'Ceara PryorG | 27 | 13.8 | 3.4 | 5.6 | 0.6 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 6+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Sa'Mya WyattF | 25 | 8.5 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Brooke MooreG | 24 | 11.1 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
| Janeya GrantG | 23 | 8.3 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Yohana FamiF | 21 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 25% | |||||
| Daniela AbiesF | 20 | 7.6 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 70% · 6+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Olivia TuckerG | 20 | 8.2 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Sanaa TrippG | 16 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…