Binghamton at South Florida
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Yuengling Center. Binghamton our rank 145 · 2-2; South Florida our rank 78 · 3-1.
Who will win Binghamton vs South Florida?
The model gives South Florida a 85% chance to beat Binghamton, with a projected score of South Florida 74, Binghamton 61.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | |||||
| IngramG · 34 min | 14.0 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 15+ 43% | |
| PorterG · 30 min | 12.2 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 10+ 64% | |
| DiakiteF · 26 min | 12.2 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 10+ 63% | |
| PuryearF · 29 min | 11.4 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 10+ 58% | |
| Binghamton | |||||
| BennettF · 32 min | 16.4 | 8.8 | 0.6 | 15+ 57% | |
| PucciG · 34 min | 14.8 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 15+ 48% | |
| BoydG · 29 min | 9.8 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 10+ 47% | |
| BennettG · 25 min | 5.2 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5+ 49% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Stefanie Ingram: Binghamton 21%South Florida 79%
The white mark is the call with her: South Florida 85%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | South Florida without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | ||||
| Stefanie Ingram | 2.8 | 79% | −6 | 62–72 |
| Fatou Diakite | 2.7 | 80% | −5 | 62–72 |
| Kendall Puryear | 2.2 | 81% | −4 | 62–73 |
| Hannah Kohn | 2.1 | 81% | −4 | 62–73 |
| Binghamton | ||||
| Kendall Bennett | 3.7 | 91% | +6 | 59–76 |
| Bella Pucci | 2.3 | 89% | +4 | 60–75 |
| Carletta Bennett | 0.6 | 87% | +2 | 61–74 |
Change is in South Florida's win chance, in points. Scores read Binghamton, then South Florida. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Binghamton 2-2LLWW
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 60.2 and allowing 65.5
South Florida 3-1WWLW
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 71.0 and allowing 68.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Binghamton | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 91.8 154th | 102.2 57th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 91.8 130th | 91.2 125th |
| Possessions a game | 70.6 312th | 71.8 200th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.7% 291st | 48.7% 27th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.3% 110th | 45.8% 196th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.8% 206th | 23.7% 202nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 36.6% 40th | 38.0% 14th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 8th | 0.20 230th |
The widest gap: South Florida's offense (57th) against Binghamton's defense (130th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Binghamton 28, South Florida 36
- First-half margin
- South Florida by 7.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.9
- Projected second half
- Binghamton 33, South Florida 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 70.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Binghamton, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 27.2 scored, 30.8 allowed
- South Florida, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 36.8 scored, 28.2 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Binghamton
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella PucciG | 34 | 14.8 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 48% · 2+ ast 56% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Kendall BennettF | 32 | 16.4 | 8.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 15+ pts 57% · 9+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Yanniah BoydG | 29 | 9.8 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 41% | |||||
| Carletta BennettG | 25 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Kameryn DorseyG | 24 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 45% | |||||
| Ashley ReddG | 21 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 22% | |||||
| Cam GaudreauG | 12 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 34% to play · 5+ pts 15% · 2+ reb 33% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
| Daysha SalgadoF | 11 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 2+ reb 57% | |||||
South Florida
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanie IngramG | 34 | 14.0 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 1.3 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 5+ reb 50% · 6+ ast 47% | |||||
| Hannah KohnG | 33 | 10.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 57% | |||||
| Amourie PorterG | 30 | 12.2 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 6+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Kendall PuryearF | 29 | 11.4 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 6+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Fatou DiakiteF | 26 | 12.2 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 7+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
| Kate NovikG | 23 | 9.3 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 6+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Savannah CurryG | 16 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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