Furman 54, South Florida 80
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 5:00 PM ET at Yuengling Center. Furman our rank 206 · 2-2; South Florida our rank 78 · 3-1.
Who won Furman vs South Florida?
Final: South Florida 80, Furman 54. Before tip-off the model gave South Florida a 91% chance to win, with a projected margin of 18.1 points for South Florida. Stefanie Ingram scored 15 for South Florida; Clare Coyle had 15 for Furman.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Stefanie Ingram: Furman 13%South Florida 87%
The white mark is the call with her: South Florida 91%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | South Florida without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | ||||
| Stefanie Ingram | 2.8 | 87% | −4 | 73–89 |
| Fatou Diakite | 2.7 | 87% | −4 | 73–89 |
| Kendall Puryear | 2.2 | 88% | −3 | 73–89 |
| Hannah Kohn | 2.1 | 88% | −3 | 73–89 |
| Furman | ||||
| Clare Coyle | 1.9 | 93% | +2 | 71–91 |
| Alyssa Ervin | 0.8 | 92% | +1 | 72–91 |
Change is in South Florida's win chance, in points. Scores read Furman, then South Florida. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Furman
No games yet this season: this is its first.
South Florida
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Furman | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 87.0 231st | 102.2 57th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 95.0 194th | 91.2 125th |
| Possessions a game | 73.2 84th | 71.8 200th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.1% 271st | 48.7% 27th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.0% 213th | 45.8% 196th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.1% 149th | 23.7% 202nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.3% 260th | 38.0% 14th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 34th | 0.20 230th |
The widest gap: South Florida's offense (57th) against Furman's defense (194th), of 363 teams.
First half
South Florida led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 3.6 points and the total by 1.2.
- At halftime
- Furman 32, South Florida 46
- Projected halftime score
- Furman 33, South Florida 44
- First-half margin
- South Florida by 10.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 76.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Furman
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clare CoyleF | 33 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Alyssa ErvinG | 30 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Sophia PearlG | 27 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Raina McGowensG | 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Nariah NelsonG | 23 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Ciara AlexanderG | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ava SawiG | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Tyriana BerryF | 11 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyraha ParnellF | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
South Florida
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah KohnG | 33 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Amourie PorterG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Stefanie IngramG | 31 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Kendall PuryearF | 28 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| Fatou DiakiteF | 22 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Savannah CurryG | 21 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Kate NovikG | 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Lana VukcevicC | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Lee TeichmanG | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |