Who will win Furman vs Campbell?
The model gives Furman a 71% chance to beat Campbell, with a projected score of Furman 67, Campbell 60.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Furman | |||||
| CoyleF · 28 min | 17.4 | 7.8 | 1.2 | 15+ 63% | |
| ErvinG · 27 min | 16.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 15+ 55% | |
| McGowensG · 29 min | 9.9 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 10+ 48% | |
| PearlG · 24 min | 6.6 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 5+ 61% | |
 Campbell | |||||
| FeltonG · 35 min | 14.2 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 15+ 44% | |
| SchneebergF · 26 min | 9.8 | 6.3 | 1.1 | 10+ 47% | |
| PredojevicF · 26 min | 6.7 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 5+ 62% | |
| DavisG · 17 min | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5+ 47% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Clare Coyle: Furman 66%Campbell 34%
The white mark is the call with her: Furman 71%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Furman without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Furman | ||||
| Clare Coyle | 1.9 | 66% | −5 | 66–61 |
| Alyssa Ervin | 0.8 | 69% | −2 | 67–61 |
Change is in Furman's win chance, in points. Scores read Furman, then Campbell. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Furman 2-2LWWL
- Nov 10L 56-74at Auburn
- Nov 6W 77-38vs Southern Wesleyan
- Nov 4W 106-48vs Erskine
- Nov 2L 54-80at South Florida
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 73.2 and allowing 60.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Furman | Campbell | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 87.0 231st | 80.7 309th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 95.0 194th | 102.9 338th |
| Possessions a game | 73.2 84th | 69.4 357th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.1% 271st | 44.9% 217th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.0% 213th | 48.2% 321st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.1% 149th | 30.2% 361st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.3% 260th | 34.1% 116th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 34th | 0.19 291st |
The widest gap: Furman's defense (194th) against Campbell's offense (309th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Furman 32, Campbell 28
- First-half margin
- Furman by 4.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 60.3
- Projected second half
- Furman 35, Campbell 32
- Second-half points, both teams
- 66.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Furman, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 37.8 scored, 28.8 allowed
- Campbell, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 21.0 scored, 42.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Furman
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raina McGowensG | 29 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Clare CoyleF | 28 | 17.4 | 7.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| 15+ pts 63% · 8+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 33% | |||||
| Alyssa ErvinG | 27 | 16.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Sophia PearlG | 24 | 6.6 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
| Nariah NelsonG | 22 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Emma BriggsF | 21 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 6+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
| Ciara AlexanderG | 18 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 31% to play · 5+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 50% | |||||
| Ava SawiG | 16 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 30% | |||||
Missed the last game: Ciara Alexander (18 min a game).
Campbell
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine FeltonG | 35 | 14.2 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 7+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Jessica WoodsG | 28 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Genesis SchneebergF | 26 | 9.8 | 6.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 6+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
| Hana PredojevicF | 26 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 5+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Emerson ThompsonG | 19 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| Amit ArieliG | 17 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Kiaya DavisG | 17 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Mikayla TabornF | 15 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 18% · 3+ reb 53% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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