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Austin Peay 62, Campbell 47

Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center. Austin Peay our rank 148 · 2-1; Campbell our rank 335 · 0-4.

Who won Austin Peay vs Campbell?

Final: Austin Peay 62, Campbell 47. Before tip-off the model gave Austin Peay a 49% chance to win — an upset, with a projected margin of 0.4 points for Campbell. Veronaye Charlton scored 17 for Austin Peay; Jasmine Felton had 20 for Campbell.

Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.

The call

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.
To winCampbell 51%Austin Peay 49%
Projected score73–73Austin Peay, then Campbell
Margin0.4Campbell · no line posted
Total146.1no line posted
First half35–35Campbell ahead 49%
Austin Peay by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20Campbell by 30Model: Campbell by 0.4Austin Peay by 30by 10by 10Campbell by 30Model: Campbell by 0.4

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Jim'Miyah Branton: Austin Peay 41%Campbell 59%

The white mark is the call with her: Campbell 51%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsCampbell without herChangeProjected score
Austin Peay
Jim'Miyah Branton2.059%+872–74
Veronaye Charlton1.557%+672–74
Clearia Peterson1.256%+572–74
Jade Rucker0.654%+373–74

Change is in Campbell's win chance, in points. Scores read Austin Peay, then Campbell. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Austin Peay

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    Campbell

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    Austin PeayCampbell
    Points scored per 100 possessions91.0 164th80.7 309th
    Points allowed per 10091.2 123rd102.9 338th
    Possessions a game69.9 341st69.4 357th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)45.5% 170th44.9% 217th
    Opponents' shooting47.4% 295th48.2% 321st
    Turnovers, share of possessions20.4% 10th30.2% 361st
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses31.0% 278th34.1% 116th
    Free throws per shot0.17 350th0.19 291st

    The widest gap: Austin Peay's defense (123rd) against Campbell's offense (309th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected before tip-off

    Ahead at halftime

    Austin Peay led at the half, against the projection. The margin was off by 19.2 points and the total by 12.3.

    At halftime
    Austin Peay 38, Campbell 19
    Projected halftime score
    Austin Peay 35, Campbell 35
    First-half margin
    Campbell by 0.2
    First-half points, both teams
    69.3
    Tied at the half
    4%

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Box score

    Each team's players, most minutes first

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