Charleston So at Furman
Women's · Friday, November 20, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at Timmons Arena. Charleston So our rank 336 · 0-3; Furman our rank 206 · 2-2.
Who will win Charleston So vs Furman?
The model gives Furman a 89% chance to beat Charleston Southern, with a projected score of Furman 70, Charleston So 55.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Furman | |||||
| CoyleF · 27 min | 17.7 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 20+ 37% | |
| ErvinG · 27 min | 16.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 15+ 57% | |
| McGowensG · 29 min | 10.0 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 10+ 49% | |
| PearlG · 23 min | 6.7 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 5+ 63% | |
| Charleston So | |||||
| SestanG · 31 min | 11.2 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 10+ 57% | |
| BattleG · 33 min | 7.0 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 5+ 65% | |
| VilcinskasC · 22 min | 6.6 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 5+ 62% | |
| CummingsF · 26 min | 4.9 | 6.1 | 0.6 | 5+ 45% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Clare Coyle: Charleston So 14%Furman 86%
The white mark is the call with her: Furman 89%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Furman without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Furman | ||||
| Clare Coyle | 1.9 | 86% | −3 | 56–69 |
| Alyssa Ervin | 0.8 | 88% | −1 | 55–70 |
Change is in Furman's win chance, in points. Scores read Charleston So, then Furman. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Charleston So 0-3LLL
- Nov 11L 45-54at Mercer
- Nov 7L 54-71at Charleston
- Nov 3L 45-61at East Carolina
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 48.0 and allowing 62.0
Furman 2-2LWWL
- Nov 10L 56-74at Auburn
- Nov 6W 77-38vs Southern Wesleyan
- Nov 4W 106-48vs Erskine
- Nov 2L 54-80at South Florida
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 73.2 and allowing 60.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Charleston So | Furman | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 77.0 343rd | 87.0 231st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 99.5 292nd | 95.0 194th |
| Possessions a game | 71.3 251st | 73.2 84th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.6% 233rd | 44.1% 271st |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.2% 105th | 46.0% 213th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 28.2% 349th | 23.1% 149th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 35.0% 82nd | 31.3% 260th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 273rd | 0.24 34th |
The widest gap: Furman's defense (194th) against Charleston So's offense (343rd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Charleston So 25, Furman 34
- First-half margin
- Furman by 8.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 59.5
- Projected second half
- Charleston So 30, Furman 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 66.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Charleston So, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 29.0 scored, 33.3 allowed
- Furman, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 37.8 scored, 28.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Charleston So
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashleigh BattleG | 33 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 3+ ast 46% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Zara SestanG | 31 | 11.2 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 2+ ast 47% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Lauren CummingsF | 26 | 4.9 | 6.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 6+ reb 53% | |||||
| Celina VilcinskasC | 22 | 6.6 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 5+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
| Iva CholakoskaG | 21 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Sofia EkhG | 19 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 37% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Selenay TanikF | 18 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 26% | |||||
| Iva MedugoracG | 17 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
Furman
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raina McGowensG | 29 | 10.0 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 44% · 3+ ast 57% | |||||
| Clare CoyleF | 27 | 17.7 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| 20+ pts 37% · 8+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Alyssa ErvinG | 27 | 16.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Sophia PearlG | 23 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 2+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Nariah NelsonG | 21 | 6.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Emma BriggsF | 21 | 6.2 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 6+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
| Ciara AlexanderG | 18 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 31% to play · 5+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
| Ava SawiG | 17 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
Missed the last game: Ciara Alexander (18 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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