Who will win Miami OH vs S Indiana?
The model gives Miami (OH) a 61% chance to beat Southern Indiana, with a projected score of Miami OH 63, S Indiana 59.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami OH | |||||
| LaMendolaF · 25 min | 11.7 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 10+ 60% | |
| TretterF · 23 min | 10.0 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 10+ 48% | |
| BaxterG · 24 min | 9.6 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 10+ 46% | |
| ZartmanG · 24 min | 8.5 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 10+ 37% | |
 S Indiana | |||||
| GannonF · 19 min | 11.2 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 10+ 57% | |
| LodenG · 24 min | 7.2 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 5+ 67% | |
| OrtizG · 22 min | 6.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 5+ 63% | |
| GannonF · 21 min | 6.7 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 5+ 63% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Amber Tretter: Miami OH 51%S Indiana 49%
The white mark is the call with her: Miami OH 61%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Miami OH without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami OH | ||||
| Amber Tretter | 3.3 | 51% | −10 | 61–61 |
| Julianna LaMendola | 2.7 | 53% | −8 | 61–61 |
| Addison Baxter | 2.0 | 55% | −6 | 62–60 |
| Núria Jurjo | 1.9 | 55% | −6 | 62–60 |
| S Indiana | ||||
| Chloe Gannon | 1.6 | 66% | +5 | 64–58 |
| Sophia Loden | 1.4 | 66% | +5 | 64–59 |
| Channah Gannon | 1.3 | 65% | +4 | 63–59 |
| Amiyah Buchanan | 1.0 | 64% | +3 | 63–59 |
Change is in Miami OH's win chance, in points. Scores read Miami OH, then S Indiana. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Miami OH 4-0WWWW
- Nov 11W 106-45vs Mount Vernon Nazarene
- Nov 8W 92-37vs Bellarmine
- Nov 5W 75-52at SE Missouri
- Nov 2W 59-52vs James Madison
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 83.0 and allowing 46.5
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Miami OH | S Indiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 92.4 144th | 91.2 159th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 80.9 25th | 89.5 101st |
| Possessions a game | 72.8 110th | 71.7 211th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.2% 85th | 44.6% 235th |
| Opponents' shooting | 41.7% 20th | 47.2% 285th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.2% 244th | 23.9% 213th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.1% 220th | 29.1% 344th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 249th | 0.18 340th |
The widest gap: Miami OH's defense (25th) against S Indiana's offense (159th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Miami OH 30, S Indiana 28
- First-half margin
- Miami OH by 2.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 57.9
- Projected second half
- Miami OH 33, S Indiana 31
- Second-half points, both teams
- 64.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Miami OH, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 43.5 scored, 21.5 allowed
- S Indiana, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 34.5 scored, 30.2 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Miami OH
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna LaMendolaF | 25 | 11.7 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Núria JurjoG | 24 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Brooke ZartmanG | 24 | 8.5 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Addison BaxterG | 24 | 9.6 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 57% | |||||
| Amber TretterF | 23 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 6+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Lucía Martínez LópezG | 20 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 31% | |||||
| Amber ScaliaG | 20 | 7.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 51% to play · 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Dominika UllmannG | 13 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
Missed the last game: Amber Scalia (22 min a game).
S Indiana
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia LodenG | 24 | 7.2 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Shannon BlacherG | 23 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Tamara OrtizG | 22 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 50% to play · 5+ pts 63% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Chloe GannonF | 21 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 22% | |||||
| Amiyah BuchananF | 20 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 43% | |||||
| Channah GannonF | 19 | 11.2 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
| Lexi SepulvedaG | 19 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 24% · 1+ threes 23% | |||||
| Ella BobeG | 19 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
Missed the last game: Tamara Ortiz (24 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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