Stanford at Washington
Women's · Friday, November 20, 2026, 10:00 PM ET at Alaska Airlines Arena. Stanford our rank 66 · 2-1; Washington AP 16, our rank 35 · 3-0.
Who will win Stanford vs Washington?
The model gives Washington a 85% chance to beat Stanford, with a projected score of Washington 73, Stanford 60.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | |||||
| HowellG · 30 min | 15.3 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 15+ 51% | |
| SellersG · 28 min | 14.2 | 3.1 | 4.8 | 15+ 44% | |
| McGaughyF · 26 min | 10.5 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 10+ 52% | |
| TryggerF · 23 min | 8.2 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 10+ 35% | |
| Stanford | |||||
| SwainG · 35 min | 15.2 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 15+ 50% | |
| EschmeyerF · 27 min | 7.8 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 10+ 32% | |
| EzikeF · 22 min | 7.2 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 5+ 67% | |
| TuhyF · 22 min | 7.0 | 6.7 | 0.7 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Avery Howell: Stanford 27%Washington 73%
The white mark is the call with her: Washington 85%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Washington without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | ||||
| Avery Howell | 5.2 | 73% | −12 | 63–70 |
| Sayvia Sellers | 4.8 | 74% | −11 | 62–70 |
| Brynn McGaughy | 3.6 | 77% | −8 | 62–71 |
| Tilda Trygger | 3.3 | 78% | −7 | 62–71 |
| Stanford | ||||
| Alexandra Eschmeyer | 3.5 | 91% | +6 | 58–74 |
| Hailee Swain | 2.9 | 90% | +5 | 59–74 |
| Ines Sotelo Miguez | 2.9 | 90% | +5 | 59–74 |
| Shay Ijiwoye | 2.2 | 89% | +4 | 59–74 |
Change is in Washington's win chance, in points. Scores read Stanford, then Washington. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Stanford 2-1LWW
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 74.3 and allowing 66.0
Washington 3-0WWW
- Nov 12W 85-51vs BakersfieldDidn't cover −42.5 · Over 131.5
- Nov 5W 75-54vs Pacific
- Nov 2W 79-63vs UC San Diego
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 79.7 and allowing 56.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Stanford | Washington | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.2 79th | 103.8 43rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 85.8 59th | 80.1 20th |
| Possessions a game | 73.0 96th | 71.4 234th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.9% 25th | 47.3% 77th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.1% 276th | 45.7% 191st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 26.9% 342nd | 24.0% 226th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.8% 176th | 32.0% 222nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 235th | 0.22 131st |
The widest gap: Washington's defense (20th) against Stanford's offense (79th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Stanford 28, Washington 35
- First-half margin
- Washington by 7.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.9
- Projected second half
- Stanford 32, Washington 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 69.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Stanford, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 36.0 scored, 33.3 allowed
- Washington, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 37.7 scored, 25.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Stanford
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hailee SwainG | 35 | 15.2 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Shay IjiwoyeG | 34 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Ines Sotelo MiguezF | 27 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Alexandra EschmeyerF | 27 | 7.8 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 6+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Charlotte TuhyF | 22 | 7.0 | 6.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 7+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Nora EzikeF | 22 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Ilse de VriesF | 12 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Kennedy UmehC | 10 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 3+ reb 44% | |||||
Washington
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery HowellG | 30 | 15.3 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 15+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 54% · 3+ threes 44% | |||||
| Sayvia SellersG | 28 | 14.2 | 3.1 | 4.8 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 55% · 5+ ast 50% | |||||
| Devin CoppingerG | 27 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Brynn McGaughyF | 26 | 10.5 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 7+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Tilda TryggerF | 23 | 8.2 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 7+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
| Amayah GarciaG | 19 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Brooke CarlsonG | 18 | 6.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 2+ ast 43% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Kaelyn CarrollF | 14 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 52% to play · 5+ pts 18% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
Missed the last game: Kaelyn Carroll (18 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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