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G Washington at Howard

Women's · Friday, November 20, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Burr Gymnasium. G Washington our rank 125 · 2-1; Howard our rank 160 · 1-3.

Who will win G Washington vs Howard?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Howard a 53% chance to beat George Washington, with a projected score of Howard 68, G Washington 67.

To winHoward 53%G Washington 47%
Projected score67–68G Washington, then Howard
Margin0.8Howard · no line posted
Total135.6no line posted
First half32–32Howard ahead 50%
G Washington by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20Howard by 30Model: Howard by 0.8G Washington by 30by 10by 10Howard by 30Model: Howard by 0.8

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Howard
StewartG · 31 min15.12.01.515+ 50%
HeniganG · 30 min11.53.93.310+ 59%
Bynum-JohnsonG · 30 min7.25.51.55+ 67%
JonesF · 20 min6.24.90.75+ 59%
G Washington
NewellG · 30 min15.25.62.115+ 50%
ReynoldsG · 25 min14.22.81.015+ 44%
LewisF · 24 min10.65.81.310+ 53%
BairG · 30 min9.33.43.610+ 43%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Sa'lah Hemingway: G Washington 54%Howard 46%

The white mark is the call with her: Howard 53%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsHoward without herChangeProjected score
Howard
Sa'lah Hemingway1.846%−768–67
Zoe Stewart1.149%−468–68
Ariella Henigan1.049%−468–68
Kearra Jones1.049%−468–68
G Washington
Alicia Newell3.064%+1166–70
Gabby Reynolds1.659%+667–69
Sara Lewis1.458%+567–69
Kamari Sims0.856%+367–69

Change is in Howard's win chance, in points. Scores read G Washington, then Howard. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    G Washington 2-1WLW

    1. Nov 11W 78-74vs Georgetown
    2. Nov 5L 66-78at West VirginiaCovered +20.5 · Over 130.5
    3. Nov 2W 84-23vs District of Columbia
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 76.0 and allowing 58.3
    Against the spread, this season
    1–0
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 0 under

    Howard 1-3LWLL

    1. Nov 12L 55-77at Iowa State
    2. Nov 10L 66-76at Marshall
    3. Nov 6W 76-69vs Elon
    4. Nov 2L 88-91at Missouri
    Last 4
    1–3, scoring 71.2 and allowing 78.2

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    G WashingtonHoward
    Points scored per 100 possessions95.2 113th92.9 139th
    Points allowed per 10092.9 150th94.8 187th
    Possessions a game70.3 327th73.0 96th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)47.7% 59th45.0% 205th
    Opponents' shooting47.1% 273rd44.4% 121st
    Turnovers, share of possessions23.6% 197th21.6% 36th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses32.1% 217th34.8% 86th
    Free throws per shot0.21 209th0.25 21st

    The widest gap: G Washington's offense (113th) against Howard's defense (187th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    G Washington 32, Howard 32
    First-half margin
    Howard by 0.5
    First-half points, both teams
    64.3
    Projected second half
    G Washington 35, Howard 36
    Second-half points, both teams
    71.3
    Tied at the half
    4%
    G Washington, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 36.3 scored, 28.3 allowed
    Howard, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 4 · 31.8 scored, 37.0 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    G Washington

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Alicia NewellG3015.25.62.10.7
    15+ pts 50% · 6+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 48%
    Anne BairG309.33.43.61.3
    10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 42% · 4+ ast 47%
    Gabby ReynoldsG2514.22.81.01.9
    15+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 51%
    Sara LewisF2410.65.81.30.4
    10+ pts 53% · 6+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 35%
    Kamari SimsF246.92.22.70.7
    5+ pts 65% · 3+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 46%
    Jaeda WilsonG165.81.41.20.7
    5+ pts 54% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 45%
    Amor HarrisG136.11.20.60.6
    5+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 33% · 1+ threes 41%
    N'na KonateF123.43.40.50.0
    5+ pts 29% · 4+ reb 43%

    Howard

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Zoe StewartG3115.12.01.51.3
    15+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 43%
    Ariella HeniganG3011.53.93.30.6
    10+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 44%
    Destiny Bynum-JohnsonG307.25.51.51.3
    5+ pts 67% · 6+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 42%
    Kearra JonesF206.24.90.70.1
    5+ pts 59% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 18%
    Rayne DurantF195.85.40.50.0
    5+ pts 55% · 6+ reb 44%
    April EdwardsG195.51.21.71.0
    5+ pts 52% · 2+ ast 47% · 1+ threes 57%
    Jada KendrickF144.22.90.70.0
    5+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 18%
    Indiah HutchinsonG123.31.80.50.2
    5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 21%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Fri, Nov 20

    All games
    1. 6 PMprojected 68-67UMass at Boston College, women's: game page
    2. 7 PMprojected 63-59Miami OH at S Indiana, women's: game page
    3. 8 PMprojected 69-71CA Baptist at UC Davis, women's: game page
    4. 8:30 PMprojected 68-64Harvard at Colorado St, women's: game page
    5. 10 PMprojected 60-73Stanford at Washington, women's: game page
    6. 11 PMprojected 69-82Baylor vs USC, women's: game page