Howard at Georgetown
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at McDonough Arena. Howard our rank 160 · 1-3; Georgetown our rank 83 · 3-1.
Who will win Howard vs Georgetown?
The model gives Georgetown a 87% chance to beat Howard, with a projected score of Georgetown 76, Howard 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgetown | |||||
| AgubataG · 22 min | 13.5 | 5.9 | 1.0 | 15+ 40% | |
| MillerG · 25 min | 12.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 10+ 63% | |
| ByarsF · 29 min | 10.6 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 10+ 52% | |
| BartholomewG · 21 min | 9.5 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 10+ 45% | |
| Howard | |||||
| StewartG · 30 min | 13.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 15+ 39% | |
| HeniganG · 28 min | 10.2 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 10+ 50% | |
| Bynum-JohnsonG · 28 min | 6.4 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 5+ 60% | |
| JonesF · 20 min | 5.8 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 5+ 54% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Destiny Agubata: Howard 18%Georgetown 82%
The white mark is the call with her: Georgetown 87%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Georgetown without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgetown | ||||
| Destiny Agubata | 2.5 | 82% | −5 | 64–75 |
| Johnea Donahue | 2.5 | 82% | −5 | 64–75 |
| Khia Miller | 2.2 | 82% | −5 | 64–75 |
| Brianna Byars | 1.8 | 83% | −4 | 64–75 |
| Howard | ||||
| Sa'lah Hemingway | 1.8 | 90% | +3 | 62–77 |
| Zoe Stewart | 1.1 | 88% | +1 | 62–77 |
| Ariella Henigan | 1.0 | 88% | +1 | 62–77 |
| Kearra Jones | 1.0 | 88% | +1 | 62–77 |
Change is in Georgetown's win chance, in points. Scores read Howard, then Georgetown. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Howard 1-3LWLL
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 71.2 and allowing 78.2
Georgetown 3-1WWWL
- Nov 11L 74-78at G Washington
- Nov 8W 97-37vs Saint Peter's
- Nov 5W 75-65vs American
- Nov 2W 84-47vs Delaware St
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 82.5 and allowing 56.8
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Howard | Georgetown | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 92.9 139th | 99.7 73rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 94.8 187th | 90.2 112th |
| Possessions a game | 73.0 96th | 71.4 234th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.0% 205th | 47.7% 60th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.4% 121st | 46.5% 242nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.6% 36th | 22.7% 110th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.8% 86th | 35.8% 53rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 21st | 0.26 14th |
The widest gap: Georgetown's offense (73rd) against Howard's defense (187th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Howard 29, Georgetown 37
- First-half margin
- Georgetown by 7.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.9
- Projected second half
- Howard 34, Georgetown 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 73.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Howard, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 31.8 scored, 37.0 allowed
- Georgetown, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 45.2 scored, 29.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Howard
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoe StewartG | 30 | 13.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Ariella HeniganG | 28 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 44% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Destiny Bynum-JohnsonG | 28 | 6.4 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 62% | |||||
| Kearra JonesF | 20 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
| Rayne DurantF | 19 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 53% | |||||
| April EdwardsG | 19 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 2+ ast 41% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Jada KendrickF | 15 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Indiah HutchinsonG | 12 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 20% | |||||
Georgetown
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brianna ByarsF | 29 | 10.6 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 7+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Johnea DonahueG | 27 | 6.8 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 5+ reb 56% · 6+ ast 43% | |||||
| Khia MillerG | 25 | 12.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Amanda AjobieweG | 23 | 8.6 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Destiny AgubataG | 22 | 13.5 | 5.9 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 6+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| Winner BartholomewG | 21 | 9.5 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
| Kendall PerryG | 17 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
| Stella LockhartF | 15 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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