Long Island at G Washington
Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET at Charles E. Smith Center. Long Island our rank 345 · 0-4; G Washington our rank 125 · 2-1.
Who will win Long Island vs G Washington?
The model gives George Washington a 98% chance to beat Long Island University, with a projected score of G Washington 78, Long Island 51.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Washington | |||||
| NewellG · 27 min | 15.6 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 15+ 53% | |
| ReynoldsG · 24 min | 15.2 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 15+ 50% | |
| LewisF · 23 min | 11.4 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 10+ 58% | |
| BairG · 27 min | 9.6 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 10+ 45% | |
| Long Island | |||||
| WilliamsG · 29 min | 11.3 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 10+ 57% | |
| NunezF · 31 min | 9.1 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 10+ 41% | |
| PoindujourG · 22 min | 5.2 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5+ 49% | |
| HuskeyG · 20 min | 5.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5+ 47% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Alicia Newell: Long Island 3%G Washington 97%
The white mark is the call with her: G Washington 98%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | G Washington without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Washington | ||||
| Alicia Newell | 3.0 | 97% | −1 | 53–76 |
| Gabby Reynolds | 1.6 | 98% | 0 | 52–77 |
| Sara Lewis | 1.4 | 98% | 0 | 52–77 |
| Kamari Sims | 0.8 | 98% | 0 | 52–77 |
Change is in G Washington's win chance, in points. Scores read Long Island, then G Washington. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Long Island 0-4LLLL
- Last 4
- 0–4, scoring 48.8 and allowing 78.2
G Washington 2-1WLW
- Nov 11W 78-74vs Georgetown
- Nov 5L 66-78at West VirginiaCovered +20.5 · Over 130.5
- Nov 2W 84-23vs District of Columbia
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 76.0 and allowing 58.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Long Island | G Washington | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 77.0 342nd | 95.2 113th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 103.0 340th | 92.9 150th |
| Possessions a game | 72.3 148th | 70.3 327th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.4% 122nd | 47.7% 59th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.4% 116th | 47.1% 273rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 29.4% 357th | 23.6% 197th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.4% 104th | 32.1% 217th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.18 332nd | 0.21 209th |
The widest gap: G Washington's offense (113th) against Long Island's defense (340th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Long Island 23, G Washington 38
- First-half margin
- G Washington by 15.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.1
- Projected second half
- Long Island 28, G Washington 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 67.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Long Island, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 24.8 scored, 38.5 allowed
- G Washington, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 36.3 scored, 28.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Long Island
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila NunezF | 31 | 9.1 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Janessa WilliamsG | 29 | 11.3 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 6+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Camille WileyG | 28 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Teriyah McFaddenG | 26 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Fabiana PoindujourG | 22 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Laura MolnarovaF | 21 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 30% | |||||
| Sydney HuskeyG | 20 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Kylie MorrisF | 13 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 3+ reb 43% | |||||
G Washington
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicia NewellG | 27 | 15.6 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 15+ pts 53% · 6+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Anne BairG | 27 | 9.6 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 44% · 4+ ast 56% | |||||
| Gabby ReynoldsG | 24 | 15.2 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Sara LewisF | 23 | 11.4 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 6+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Kamari SimsF | 23 | 7.5 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ ast 59% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Jaeda WilsonG | 16 | 6.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Amor HarrisG | 14 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 2+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| N'na KonateF | 13 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 18% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…