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Temple at G Washington

Women's · Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Charles E. Smith Center. Temple our rank 84 · 2-1; G Washington our rank 125 · 2-1.

Who will win Temple vs G Washington?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Temple a 55% chance to beat George Washington, with a projected score of Temple 70, G Washington 69.

To winTemple 55%G Washington 45%
Projected score70–69Temple, then G Washington
Margin1.6Temple · no line posted
Total139.2no line posted
First half33–33Temple ahead 52%
Temple by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20G Washington by 30Model: Temple by 1.6Temple by 30by 10by 10G Washington by 30Model: Temple by 1.6

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Temple
TurnerG · 28 min15.62.42.415+ 53%
LogwoodG · 24 min14.04.51.615+ 43%
CraigF · 30 min12.57.31.710+ 65%
SmithG · 28 min12.37.61.810+ 64%
G Washington
NewellG · 30 min15.45.62.215+ 51%
ReynoldsG · 25 min14.42.81.015+ 45%
LewisF · 24 min10.75.81.310+ 54%
BairG · 30 min9.43.43.610+ 44%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Saniyah Craig: Temple 45%G Washington 55%

The white mark is the call with her: Temple 55%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsTemple without herChangeProjected score
Temple
Saniyah Craig3.045%−1069–70
Kaylah Turner2.846%−969–70
Tristen Taylor2.148%−769–70
Taliyah Logwood1.949%−670–70
G Washington
Alicia Newell3.067%+1272–67
Gabby Reynolds1.662%+771–68
Sara Lewis1.461%+671–68
Kamari Sims0.859%+471–68

Change is in Temple's win chance, in points. Scores read Temple, then G Washington. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Temple 2-1LWW

    1. Nov 11W 89-67at La Salle
    2. Nov 7W 97-77vs Navy
    3. Nov 2L 71-91at George Mason
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 85.7 and allowing 78.3

    G Washington 2-1WLW

    1. Nov 11W 78-74vs Georgetown
    2. Nov 5L 66-78at West VirginiaCovered +20.5 · Over 130.5
    3. Nov 2W 84-23vs District of Columbia
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 76.0 and allowing 58.3
    Against the spread, this season
    1–0
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 0 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    TempleG Washington
    Points scored per 100 possessions98.4 87th95.2 113th
    Points allowed per 10089.0 93rd92.9 150th
    Possessions a game75.0 12th70.3 327th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)47.2% 84th47.7% 59th
    Opponents' shooting47.3% 287th47.1% 273rd
    Turnovers, share of possessions23.1% 151st23.6% 197th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses37.9% 15th32.1% 217th
    Free throws per shot0.22 157th0.21 209th

    The widest gap: Temple's offense (87th) against G Washington's defense (150th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Temple 33, G Washington 33
    First-half margin
    Temple by 0.9
    First-half points, both teams
    66.0
    Projected second half
    Temple 37, G Washington 36
    Second-half points, both teams
    73.2
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Temple, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 39.7 scored, 34.7 allowed
    G Washington, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 36.3 scored, 28.3 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Temple

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Saniyah CraigF3012.57.31.70.4
    10+ pts 65% · 8+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 49%
    Tristen TaylorG298.23.63.80.6
    10+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 46% · 4+ ast 50%
    Shayla SmithG2812.37.61.80.5
    10+ pts 64% · 8+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 52%
    Kaylah TurnerG2815.62.42.42.3
    15+ pts 53% · 3+ ast 42% · 2+ threes 59%
    Taliyah LogwoodG2414.04.51.60.8
    15+ pts 43% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 52%
    Khloe MillerF205.94.10.20.3
    5+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 28%
    Myla BentonG173.62.00.70.4
    5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 31%
    Ariana MeriedyF156.03.00.40.2
    5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 19%

    G Washington

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Alicia NewellG3015.45.62.20.7
    15+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 48%
    Anne BairG309.43.43.61.3
    10+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 42% · 4+ ast 48%
    Gabby ReynoldsG2514.42.81.01.9
    15+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 51%
    Sara LewisF2410.75.81.30.4
    10+ pts 54% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 35%
    Kamari SimsF247.02.32.70.7
    5+ pts 65% · 3+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 46%
    Jaeda WilsonG165.81.41.30.7
    5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 45%
    Amor HarrisG136.21.30.60.6
    5+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 33% · 1+ threes 42%
    N'na KonateF123.53.50.60.0
    5+ pts 30% · 4+ reb 43%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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