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Seton Hall at Auburn

Women's · Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Neville Arena. Seton Hall our rank 76 · 2-1; Auburn our rank 79 · 3-0.

Who will win Seton Hall vs Auburn?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Auburn a 63% chance to beat Seton Hall, with a projected score of Auburn 62, Seton Hall 58.

To winAuburn 63%Seton Hall 37%
Projected score58–62Seton Hall, then Auburn
Margin4.0Auburn · no line posted
Total120.3no line posted
First half27–30Auburn ahead 58%
Seton Hall by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20Auburn by 30Model: Auburn by 4.0Seton Hall by 30by 10by 10Auburn by 30Model: Auburn by 4.0

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Auburn
PetersonF · 24 min7.97.60.610+ 33%
HarrisG · 26 min7.82.61.810+ 32%
OshoF · 26 min7.75.21.110+ 31%
StotijnG · 24 min6.32.21.45+ 59%
Seton Hall
CatalonG · 34 min14.53.91.915+ 46%
CraftG · 30 min10.05.90.510+ 48%
ScepanovicF · 28 min8.45.61.910+ 36%
WoodardG · 24 min6.62.01.85+ 62%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Jessica Peterson: Seton Hall 45%Auburn 55%

The white mark is the call with her: Auburn 63%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsAuburn without herChangeProjected score
Auburn
Jessica Peterson2.355%−859–61
Ja'Mia Harris2.056%−759–61
Danielle Osho1.857%−659–61
Quanirah Montague1.658%−559–61
Seton Hall
Savannah Catalon4.575%+1256–64
Ja'Kahla Craft3.573%+1056–64
Ari Woodard1.868%+557–63
Saniyah King1.266%+358–63

Change is in Auburn's win chance, in points. Scores read Seton Hall, then Auburn. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Seton Hall 2-1WWL

    1. Nov 12L 67-69vs Fairfield
    2. Nov 6W 74-56vs Indiana St
    3. Nov 3W 63-37vs Mercyhurst
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 68.0 and allowing 54.0

    Auburn 3-0WWW

    1. Nov 10W 74-56vs Furman
    2. Nov 5W 56-48vs Southern Miss
    3. Nov 2W 84-35vs Alabama St
    Last 3
    3–0, scoring 71.3 and allowing 46.3

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    Seton HallAuburn
    Points scored per 100 possessions95.4 110th93.8 130th
    Points allowed per 10084.2 54th83.0 45th
    Possessions a game71.3 251st71.2 265th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)44.0% 279th44.5% 245th
    Opponents' shooting43.4% 62nd40.1% 6th
    Turnovers, share of possessions24.5% 260th25.7% 314th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses35.1% 78th35.1% 79th
    Free throws per shot0.23 92nd0.28 4th

    The widest gap: Seton Hall's defense (54th) against Auburn's offense (130th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Seton Hall 27, Auburn 30
    First-half margin
    Auburn by 2.3
    First-half points, both teams
    57.0
    Projected second half
    Seton Hall 31, Auburn 32
    Second-half points, both teams
    63.3
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Seton Hall, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 33.3 scored, 27.0 allowed
    Auburn, first halves so far
    Led 3 of 3 · 34.0 scored, 22.0 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Seton Hall

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Savannah CatalonG3414.53.91.91.2
    15+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 55%
    Ja'Kahla CraftG3010.05.90.51.0
    10+ pts 48% · 6+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 57%
    Ksenija ScepanovicF288.45.61.90.7
    10+ pts 36% · 6+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 53%
    Ari WoodardG246.62.01.80.5
    5+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 51%
    Saniyah KingG202.11.91.70.3
    5+ pts 16% · 2+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 49%
    Savanna JonesF183.22.80.70.0
    5+ pts 27% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 16%
    Shamira MortonF133.32.70.30.1
    5+ pts 28% · 3+ reb 47%
    Samari BankheadG123.41.60.40.4
    5+ pts 29% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 33%

    Auburn

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Danielle OshoF267.75.21.10.8
    10+ pts 31% · 5+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 50%
    Ja'Mia HarrisG267.82.61.80.7
    10+ pts 32% · 2+ ast 51% · 1+ threes 49%
    Phoenix StotijnG246.32.21.40.6
    5+ pts 59% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 41%
    Jessica PetersonF247.97.60.60.1
    10+ pts 33% · 8+ reb 47%
    Sania RichardsonG214.32.52.10.4
    5+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 60%
    Quanirah MontagueF174.64.30.50.2
    5+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 21%
    Kaitlyn DuhonG165.62.60.60.3
    5+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 27%
    Ashley KnoxG163.81.50.70.7
    5+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 46%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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