NC State at Seton Hall
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Walsh Gymnasium. NC State our rank 22 · 3-1; Seton Hall our rank 76 · 2-1.
Who will win NC State vs Seton Hall?
The model gives NC State a 73% chance to beat Seton Hall, with a projected score of NC State 71, Seton Hall 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | |||||
| PierreF · 33 min | 19.9 | 9.6 | 1.2 | 20+ 49% | |
| BrooksG · 24 min | 12.8 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 15+ 35% | |
| WootenG · 35 min | 10.1 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 10+ 49% | |
| LunanG · 27 min | 7.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 10+ 31% | |
| Seton Hall | |||||
| CatalonG · 33 min | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 15+ 49% | |
| CraftG · 29 min | 10.4 | 6.1 | 0.5 | 10+ 51% | |
| ScepanovicF · 28 min | 8.7 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 10+ 39% | |
| WoodardG · 24 min | 6.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Khamil Pierre: NC State 54%Seton Hall 46%
The white mark is the call with her: NC State 73%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | NC State without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | ||||
| Khamil Pierre | 6.5 | 54% | −19 | 68–67 |
| Desiree Wooten | 4.9 | 59% | −14 | 69–66 |
| Qadence Samuels | 3.5 | 63% | −10 | 69–65 |
| Ky'She Lunan | 3.1 | 64% | −9 | 69–65 |
| Seton Hall | ||||
| Savannah Catalon | 4.5 | 84% | +11 | 73–61 |
| Ja'Kahla Craft | 3.5 | 82% | +9 | 73–62 |
| Ari Woodard | 1.8 | 78% | +5 | 72–63 |
| Saniyah King | 1.2 | 76% | +3 | 72–63 |
Change is in NC State's win chance, in points. Scores read NC State, then Seton Hall. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
NC State 3-1WWLW
- Nov 11W 71-47vs Liberty
- Nov 8L 78-93vs KentuckyDidn't cover +5.5 · Over 136.5
- Nov 4W 80-45vs Campbell
- Nov 2W 80-50vs Wofford
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 77.2 and allowing 58.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
Seton Hall 2-1WWL
- Nov 12L 67-69vs Fairfield
- Nov 6W 74-56vs Indiana St
- Nov 3W 63-37vs Mercyhurst
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 68.0 and allowing 54.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| NC State | Seton Hall | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 110.7 20th | 95.4 110th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 81.9 35th | 84.2 54th |
| Possessions a game | 72.8 110th | 71.3 251st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.4% 75th | 44.0% 279th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.2% 228th | 43.4% 62nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 20.0% 5th | 24.5% 260th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.4% 148th | 35.1% 78th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 178th | 0.23 92nd |
The widest gap: NC State's defense (35th) against Seton Hall's offense (110th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- NC State 34, Seton Hall 30
- First-half margin
- NC State by 4.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.8
- Projected second half
- NC State 37, Seton Hall 34
- Second-half points, both teams
- 70.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- NC State, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 39.8 scored, 30.0 allowed
- Seton Hall, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 33.3 scored, 27.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
NC State
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desiree WootenG | 35 | 10.1 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 51% · 4+ ast 41% | |||||
| Khamil PierreF | 33 | 19.9 | 9.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 20+ pts 49% · 10+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
| Qadence SamuelsG | 29 | 6.7 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 6+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Ky'She LunanG | 27 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Zoe BrooksG | 24 | 12.8 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 0.6 |
| 49% to play · 15+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Khady LeyeF | 22 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Kamora PruittG | 17 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Annsley TrivetteF | 13 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 57% | |||||
Missed the last game: Zoe Brooks (25 min a game).
Seton Hall
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savannah CatalonG | 33 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Ja'Kahla CraftG | 29 | 10.4 | 6.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Ksenija ScepanovicF | 28 | 8.7 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 6+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Ari WoodardG | 24 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Saniyah KingG | 20 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 17% · 2+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Savanna JonesF | 18 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 17% | |||||
| Shamira MortonF | 13 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 3+ reb 50% | |||||
| Shailyn PinkneyG | 13 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 2+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 26% · 1+ threes 17% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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