Who won Wofford vs NC State?
Final: NC State 80, Wofford 50. Before tip-off the model gave NC State a 99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 34.8 points for NC State. Zoe Brooks scored 23 for NC State; Gabby Mundy had 22 for Wofford.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Khamil Pierre: Wofford 2%NC State 98%
The white mark is the call with her: NC State 99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | NC State without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 NC State | ||||
| Khamil Pierre | 6.5 | 98% | −1 | 67–96 |
| Desiree Wooten | 4.9 | 98% | −1 | 66–96 |
| Qadence Samuels | 3.5 | 99% | 0 | 66–97 |
| Ky'She Lunan | 3.1 | 99% | 0 | 66–97 |
 Wofford | ||||
| Sayler Lowe | 0.7 | 99% | 0 | 64–99 |
Change is in NC State's win chance, in points. Scores read Wofford, then NC State. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Wofford
No games yet this season: this is its first.
NC State
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Wofford | NC State | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 86.9 233rd | 110.7 20th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 94.1 174th | 81.9 35th |
| Possessions a game | 70.8 296th | 72.8 110th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.8% 289th | 47.4% 75th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.9% 204th | 46.2% 228th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.3% 82nd | 20.0% 5th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.8% 130th | 33.4% 148th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 217th | 0.21 178th |
The widest gap: NC State's defense (35th) against Wofford's offense (233rd), of 363 teams.
First half
NC State led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 8.0 points and the total by 17.2.
- At halftime
- Wofford 16, NC State 44
- Projected halftime score
- Wofford 29, NC State 49
- First-half margin
- NC State by 20.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 77.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Wofford
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby MundyG | 27 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Molly MasingaleG | 27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Sayler LoweF | 24 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Mearah WhiteheadG | 23 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Maddie HeissG | 22 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Courtney SwiderF | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Angelina PelayoF | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Elli PorterG | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Emmanuelle BroudeF | 14 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
NC State
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ky'She LunanG | 31 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Zoe BrooksG | 28 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 2 |
| Khamil PierreF | 26 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| Desiree WootenG | 23 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Khady LeyeF | 20 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Qadence SamuelsG | 18 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamora PruittG | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Maddie CoxF | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Adelaide JerniganG | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |