Grand Canyon at Santa Clara
Women's · Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 10:00 PM ET at Leavey Center. Grand Canyon our rank 116 · 2-0; Santa Clara our rank 69 · 3-0.
Who will win Grand Canyon vs Santa Clara?
The model gives Santa Clara a 83% chance to beat Grand Canyon, with a projected score of Santa Clara 78, Grand Canyon 66.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | |||||
| GlanceyF · 27 min | 16.1 | 8.1 | 1.6 | 15+ 56% | |
| JonesG · 27 min | 15.5 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 15+ 52% | |
| SchmidtF · 28 min | 12.3 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 10+ 64% | |
| FoxG · 26 min | 8.1 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 10+ 34% | |
| Grand Canyon | |||||
| YiechF · 28 min | 12.6 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 15+ 34% | |
| SallmanC · 24 min | 10.4 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 10+ 51% | |
| FozG · 25 min | 10.3 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 10+ 50% | |
| MannG · 21 min | 9.8 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 10+ 47% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Sophie Glancey: Grand Canyon 25%Santa Clara 75%
The white mark is the call with her: Santa Clara 83%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Santa Clara without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | ||||
| Sophie Glancey | 3.5 | 75% | −8 | 68–76 |
| Maia Jones | 3.0 | 76% | −7 | 68–77 |
| Ava Schmidt | 2.9 | 76% | −7 | 68–77 |
| Kylee Fox | 1.9 | 79% | −4 | 67–77 |
| Grand Canyon | ||||
| Nyadieng Yiech | 2.5 | 88% | +5 | 65–79 |
| Dasha Biriuk | 2.1 | 87% | +4 | 65–79 |
| T'yana Todd | 1.6 | 86% | +3 | 65–79 |
| Maya Foz | 1.3 | 85% | +2 | 65–79 |
Change is in Santa Clara's win chance, in points. Scores read Grand Canyon, then Santa Clara. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Grand Canyon 2-0WW
- Nov 9W 81-74vs OregonCovered +9.5 · Over 137.5
- Nov 4W 77-55vs Jackson St
- Last 2
- 2–0, scoring 79.0 and allowing 64.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
Santa Clara 3-0WWW
- Nov 9W 89-70at Long Beach St
- Nov 7W 64-62at Utah Valley
- Nov 2W 84-50at Wyoming
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 79.0 and allowing 60.7
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Grand Canyon | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 94.5 123rd | 102.0 59th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 90.6 117th | 89.5 99th |
| Possessions a game | 73.2 84th | 74.3 29th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.4% 180th | 47.3% 77th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.4% 116th | 43.3% 56th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.2% 157th | 20.9% 14th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.1% 163rd | 35.8% 54th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 9th | 0.21 172nd |
The widest gap: Santa Clara's offense (59th) against Grand Canyon's defense (117th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Grand Canyon 31, Santa Clara 38
- First-half margin
- Santa Clara by 6.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 68.4
- Projected second half
- Grand Canyon 35, Santa Clara 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 75.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Grand Canyon, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 46.0 scored, 25.0 allowed
- Santa Clara, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 43.3 scored, 30.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Grand Canyon
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dasha BiriukG | 28 | 9.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Nyadieng YiechF | 28 | 12.6 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 15+ pts 34% · 7+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| T'yana ToddG | 26 | 9.4 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Maya FozG | 25 | 10.3 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Jana SallmanC | 24 | 10.4 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 7+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Chloe MannG | 21 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 2+ ast 53% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Ashlynn ChlarsonC | 14 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 59% | |||||
| Ines ZouniaG | 12 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
Santa Clara
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava SchmidtF | 28 | 12.3 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 57% | |||||
| Aniya HookerG | 27 | 7.8 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 52% · 4+ ast 50% | |||||
| Sophie GlanceyF | 27 | 16.1 | 8.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 15+ pts 56% · 8+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Maia JonesG | 27 | 15.5 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Kylee FoxG | 26 | 8.1 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 5+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Delainey MillerG | 19 | 7.9 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 5+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Kate SchatG | 17 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Emma NajjumaC | 16 | 4.5 | 6.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 7+ reb 51% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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