Probable Stats
Menu

Santa Clara 84, Wyoming 50

Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 8:30 PM ET at Arena-Auditorium. Santa Clara our rank 69 · 3-0; Wyoming our rank 314 · 1-2.

Who won Santa Clara vs Wyoming?

Final: Santa Clara 84, Wyoming 50. Before tip-off the model gave Santa Clara a 83% chance to win, with a projected margin of 13.3 points for Santa Clara. Sophie Glancey scored 15 for Santa Clara; Norah Clark had 16 for Wyoming.

Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.

The call

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.
To winSanta Clara 83%Wyoming 17%
Projected score88–74Santa Clara, then Wyoming
Margin13.3Santa Clara · no line posted
Total162.3no line posted
First half42–35Santa Clara ahead 77%
Santa Clara by 40by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10Wyoming by 20Model: Santa Clara by 13.3Santa Clara by 40by 20EvenWyoming by 20Model: Santa Clara by 13.3

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Sophie Glancey: Santa Clara 76%Wyoming 24%

The white mark is the call with her: Santa Clara 83%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsSanta Clara without herChangeProjected score
Santa Clara
Sophie Glancey3.576%−786–76
Maia Jones3.077%−686–76
Ava Schmidt2.977%−686–76
Kylee Fox1.980%−387–75

Change is in Santa Clara's win chance, in points. Scores read Santa Clara, then Wyoming. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Santa Clara

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    Wyoming

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    Santa ClaraWyoming
    Points scored per 100 possessions102.0 59th81.1 305th
    Points allowed per 10089.5 99th100.0 301st
    Possessions a game74.3 29th69.9 341st
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)47.3% 77th43.3% 306th
    Opponents' shooting43.3% 56th48.6% 333rd
    Turnovers, share of possessions20.9% 14th24.0% 221st
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses35.8% 54th25.6% 362nd
    Free throws per shot0.21 172nd0.22 104th

    The widest gap: Santa Clara's offense (59th) against Wyoming's defense (301st), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected before tip-off

    Ahead at halftime

    Santa Clara led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 13.3 points and the total by 1.9.

    At halftime
    Santa Clara 48, Wyoming 27
    Projected halftime score
    Santa Clara 42, Wyoming 35
    First-half margin
    Santa Clara by 7.7
    First-half points, both teams
    76.9
    Tied at the half
    4%

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Box score

    Each team's players, most minutes first

    Santa Clara

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Kylee FoxG2412412
    Ava SchmidtF2313433
    Delainey MillerG225410
    Sophie GlanceyF2115911
    Aniya HookerG219231
    Maia JonesG2114622
    Emma NajjumaC2151101
    Kate SchatG218221
    Sara SchmerbachG140210

    Wyoming

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Norah ClarkF2716711
    Liv BlomkvistC256220
    Taylor DonaldsonG242100
    Ophelia PowellG245310
    Kati OllilainenG227310
    Jersey BergG220310
    Katie HarringtonG153111
    Zoey BlackwellG112000
    Peyton WohlfordF106002

    More games on Mon, Nov 2

    All games
    1. Final91-79Oklahoma vs North Carolina, women's: game page
    2. Final40-63Binghamton at Monmouth, women's: game page
    3. Final52-59James Madison at Miami OH, women's: game page
    4. Final82-67Murray St at S Indiana, women's: game page
    5. Final71-91Temple at George Mason, women's: game page
    6. Final61-57Louisiana Tech at Toledo, women's: game page