Stanford at Santa Clara
Women's · Friday, November 13, 2026, 10:00 PM ET at Leavey Center. Stanford our rank 66 · 2-1; Santa Clara our rank 69 · 3-0.
Who will win Stanford vs Santa Clara?
The model gives Santa Clara a 63% chance to beat Stanford, with a projected score of Santa Clara 74, Stanford 70.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | |||||
| GlanceyF · 28 min | 15.8 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 15+ 54% | |
| JonesG · 28 min | 15.2 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 15+ 50% | |
| SchmidtF · 29 min | 12.1 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 10+ 63% | |
| FoxG · 27 min | 7.9 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 10+ 33% | |
| Stanford | |||||
| SwainG · 37 min | 17.7 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 20+ 37% | |
| EschmeyerF · 28 min | 9.0 | 6.2 | 0.6 | 10+ 41% | |
| EzikeF · 23 min | 8.2 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 10+ 35% | |
| TuhyF · 22 min | 7.9 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 10+ 33% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Sophie Glancey: Stanford 48%Santa Clara 52%
The white mark is the call with her: Santa Clara 63%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Santa Clara without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | ||||
| Sophie Glancey | 3.5 | 52% | −11 | 72–72 |
| Maia Jones | 3.0 | 53% | −10 | 72–72 |
| Ava Schmidt | 2.9 | 53% | −10 | 71–72 |
| Kylee Fox | 1.9 | 57% | −6 | 71–73 |
| Stanford | ||||
| Alexandra Eschmeyer | 3.5 | 73% | +10 | 68–76 |
| Hailee Swain | 2.9 | 71% | +8 | 69–75 |
| Ines Sotelo Miguez | 2.9 | 71% | +8 | 69–75 |
| Shay Ijiwoye | 2.2 | 69% | +6 | 69–75 |
Change is in Santa Clara's win chance, in points. Scores read Stanford, then Santa Clara. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Stanford 2-1LWW
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 74.3 and allowing 66.0
Santa Clara 3-0WWW
- Nov 9W 89-70at Long Beach St
- Nov 7W 64-62at Utah Valley
- Nov 2W 84-50at Wyoming
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 79.0 and allowing 60.7
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Stanford | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.2 79th | 102.0 59th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 85.8 59th | 89.5 99th |
| Possessions a game | 73.0 96th | 74.3 29th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.9% 25th | 47.3% 77th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.1% 276th | 43.3% 56th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 26.9% 342nd | 20.9% 14th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.8% 176th | 35.8% 54th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 235th | 0.21 172nd |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Stanford 33, Santa Clara 35
- First-half margin
- Santa Clara by 2.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 68.2
- Projected second half
- Stanford 37, Santa Clara 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 75.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Stanford, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 36.0 scored, 33.3 allowed
- Santa Clara, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 43.3 scored, 30.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Stanford
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hailee SwainG | 37 | 17.7 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| 20+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Shay IjiwoyeG | 35 | 7.8 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ ast 54% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Ines Sotelo MiguezF | 28 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 60% | |||||
| Alexandra EschmeyerF | 28 | 9.0 | 6.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 6+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Nora EzikeF | 23 | 8.2 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Charlotte TuhyF | 22 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 8+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Ilse de VriesF | 12 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
Santa Clara
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava SchmidtF | 29 | 12.1 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 56% | |||||
| Aniya HookerG | 28 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 51% · 4+ ast 46% | |||||
| Sophie GlanceyF | 28 | 15.8 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 15+ pts 54% · 8+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Maia JonesG | 28 | 15.2 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Kylee FoxG | 27 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 5+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Delainey MillerG | 19 | 7.6 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 70% · 5+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Kate SchatG | 17 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Emma NajjumaC | 16 | 4.3 | 6.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 7+ reb 47% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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