Gonzaga at Grand Canyon
Women's · Friday, November 13, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Global Credit Union Arena. Gonzaga our rank 74 · 2-1; Grand Canyon our rank 116 · 2-0.
Who will win Gonzaga vs Grand Canyon?
The model gives Gonzaga a 56% chance to beat Grand Canyon, with a projected score of Gonzaga 71, Grand Canyon 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzaga | |||||
| WhittakerF · 27 min | 16.7 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 15+ 59% | |
| TurnerG · 32 min | 13.9 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 15+ 42% | |
| SmithF · 25 min | 8.8 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 10+ 40% | |
| AokusoG · 24 min | 7.5 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 5+ 69% | |
| Grand Canyon | |||||
| YiechF · 29 min | 13.5 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 15+ 40% | |
| FozG · 26 min | 11.0 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 10+ 55% | |
| SallmanC · 24 min | 11.0 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 10+ 56% | |
| MannG · 22 min | 10.4 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 10+ 51% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Lauren Whittaker: Gonzaga 41%Grand Canyon 59%
The white mark is the call with her: Gonzaga 56%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Gonzaga without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzaga | ||||
| Lauren Whittaker | 4.9 | 41% | −15 | 69–72 |
| Allie Turner | 2.7 | 48% | −8 | 70–71 |
| Taylor Smith | 1.8 | 50% | −6 | 70–70 |
| Teryn Gardner | 1.8 | 50% | −6 | 70–70 |
| Grand Canyon | ||||
| Nyadieng Yiech | 2.5 | 64% | +8 | 73–68 |
| Dasha Biriuk | 2.1 | 63% | +7 | 72–68 |
| T'yana Todd | 1.6 | 61% | +5 | 72–69 |
| Maya Foz | 1.3 | 60% | +4 | 72–69 |
Change is in Gonzaga's win chance, in points. Scores read Gonzaga, then Grand Canyon. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Gonzaga 2-1WLW
- Nov 8W 85-58vs UC Riverside
- Nov 6L 75-86vs Idaho
- Nov 2W 62-56vs N Dakota St
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 74.0 and allowing 66.7
Grand Canyon 2-0WW
- Nov 9W 81-74vs OregonCovered +9.5 · Over 137.5
- Nov 4W 77-55vs Jackson St
- Last 2
- 2–0, scoring 79.0 and allowing 64.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Gonzaga | Grand Canyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.0 59th | 94.5 123rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 90.5 116th | 90.6 117th |
| Possessions a game | 72.1 164th | 73.2 84th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.1% 201st | 45.4% 180th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.3% 230th | 44.4% 116th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.6% 193rd | 23.2% 157th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.9% 174th | 33.1% 163rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 106th | 0.26 9th |
The widest gap: Gonzaga's offense (59th) against Grand Canyon's defense (117th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Gonzaga 34, Grand Canyon 33
- First-half margin
- Gonzaga by 1.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 66.7
- Projected second half
- Gonzaga 37, Grand Canyon 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 74.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Gonzaga, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 30.7 scored, 34.3 allowed
- Grand Canyon, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 46.0 scored, 25.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Gonzaga
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie TurnerG | 32 | 13.9 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Lauren WhittakerF | 27 | 16.7 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 15+ pts 59% · 10+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Taylor SmithF | 25 | 8.8 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 58% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Teryn GardnerG | 25 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Zeryhia AokusoG | 24 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Ines BettencourtG | 21 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| McKynnlie DalanF | 17 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 19% | |||||
| Julia WilsonG | 15 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 40% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
Grand Canyon
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dasha BiriukG | 29 | 10.0 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Nyadieng YiechF | 29 | 13.5 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 7+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| T'yana ToddG | 26 | 10.0 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Maya FozG | 26 | 11.0 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 3+ ast 43% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Jana SallmanC | 24 | 11.0 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 8+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Chloe MannG | 22 | 10.4 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 2+ ast 57% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Ashlynn ChlarsonC | 13 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 41% | |||||
| Ines ZouniaG | 12 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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