Wyoming at Colorado St
Women's · Friday, November 13, 2026, 8:30 PM ET at Moby Arena. Wyoming our rank 314 · 1-2; Colorado St our rank 86 · 2-1.
Who will win Wyoming vs Colorado St?
The model gives Colorado State a 98% chance to beat Wyoming, with a projected score of Colorado St 76, Wyoming 51.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado St | |||||
| RunnerG · 31 min | 17.7 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 20+ 37% | |
| FroebeG · 28 min | 13.5 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 15+ 40% | |
| MurphyG · 29 min | 10.5 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 10+ 52% | |
| KramerG · 28 min | 8.5 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 10+ 37% | |
| Wyoming | |||||
| ClarkF · 28 min | 10.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 10+ 53% | |
| OllilainenG · 27 min | 7.5 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 5+ 69% | |
| MumaG · 24 min | 4.7 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 5+ 43% | |
| DonaldsonG · 23 min | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5+ 35% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Kloe Froebe: Wyoming 4%Colorado St 96%
The white mark is the call with her: Colorado St 98%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Colorado St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado St | ||||
| Kloe Froebe | 3.6 | 96% | −2 | 52–74 |
| Camryn Runner | 2.8 | 97% | −1 | 52–75 |
| McKenna Murphy | 2.5 | 97% | −1 | 52–75 |
| Caitlin Kramer | 1.4 | 97% | −1 | 51–75 |
Change is in Colorado St's win chance, in points. Scores read Wyoming, then Colorado St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Wyoming 1-2LLW
- Nov 10W 75-64vs UT Arlington
- Nov 7L 37-72vs Missouri St
- Nov 2L 50-84vs Santa Clara
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 54.0 and allowing 73.3
Colorado St 2-1WLW
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 70.7 and allowing 56.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Wyoming | Colorado St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 81.1 305th | 100.7 69th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 100.0 301st | 91.8 131st |
| Possessions a game | 69.9 341st | 69.5 352nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.3% 306th | 49.9% 12th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.6% 333rd | 43.9% 82nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.0% 221st | 21.0% 19th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 25.6% 362nd | 29.3% 337th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 104th | 0.21 168th |
The widest gap: Colorado St's offense (69th) against Wyoming's defense (301st), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Wyoming 23, Colorado St 37
- First-half margin
- Colorado St by 14.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 60.0
- Projected second half
- Wyoming 28, Colorado St 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 66.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Wyoming, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 29.3 scored, 36.3 allowed
- Colorado St, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 35.7 scored, 24.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Wyoming
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norah ClarkF | 28 | 10.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Kati OllilainenG | 27 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Payton MumaG | 24 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ ast 55% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Taylor DonaldsonG | 23 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Liv BlomkvistC | 21 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 25% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Ophelia PowellG | 16 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 25% · 2+ reb 35% · 1+ threes 16% | |||||
| Hayley JohnsonF | 15 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 3+ reb 49% | |||||
| Peyton WohlfordF | 13 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
Missed the last game: Katie Harrington (15 min a game).
Colorado St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camryn RunnerG | 31 | 17.7 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| 20+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 57% · 5+ ast 47% | |||||
| McKenna MurphyG | 29 | 10.5 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Kloe FroebeG | 28 | 13.5 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 6+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Caitlin KramerG | 28 | 8.5 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Heidur KarlsdottirF | 19 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
| Sophie SeneF | 17 | 7.4 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 6+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Gianna SmithG | 12 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Allie RodenG | 11 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…