Wyoming at S Dakota St
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at First Bank & Trust Arena. Wyoming our rank 314 · 1-2; S Dakota St our rank 65 · 1-2.
Who will win Wyoming vs S Dakota St?
The model gives South Dakota State a 99% chance to beat Wyoming, with a projected score of S Dakota St 82, Wyoming 52.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Dakota St | |||||
| MeyerF · 25 min | 16.4 | 7.3 | 2.5 | 15+ 57% | |
| ShindelarG · 23 min | 10.3 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 10+ 50% | |
| VaseckaG · 27 min | 10.0 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 10+ 48% | |
| FoxG · 23 min | 9.4 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 10+ 44% | |
| Wyoming | |||||
| ClarkF · 28 min | 10.5 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 10+ 52% | |
| OllilainenG · 27 min | 7.4 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 5+ 68% | |
| MumaG · 24 min | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 5+ 43% | |
| DonaldsonG · 23 min | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5+ 36% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Brooklyn Meyer: Wyoming 3%S Dakota St 97%
The white mark is the call with her: S Dakota St 99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | S Dakota St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Dakota St | ||||
| Brooklyn Meyer | 6.0 | 97% | −2 | 55–79 |
| Emilee Fox | 2.2 | 99% | 0 | 53–81 |
| Mahli Abdouch | 2.0 | 99% | 0 | 53–81 |
| Katie Vasecka | 1.8 | 99% | 0 | 53–81 |
Change is in S Dakota St's win chance, in points. Scores read Wyoming, then S Dakota St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Wyoming 1-2LLW
- Nov 10W 75-64vs UT Arlington
- Nov 7L 37-72vs Missouri St
- Nov 2L 50-84vs Santa Clara
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 54.0 and allowing 73.3
S Dakota St 1-2LWL
- Nov 11L 63-93at TexasDidn't cover +27.5 · Over 137.5
- Nov 6W 76-54vs Northern Iowa
- Nov 2L 71-73vs Creighton
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 70.0 and allowing 73.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Wyoming | S Dakota St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 81.1 305th | 106.2 35th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 100.0 301st | 92.4 138th |
| Possessions a game | 69.9 341st | 71.0 285th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.3% 306th | 48.1% 48th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.6% 333rd | 48.4% 325th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.0% 221st | 22.5% 97th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 25.6% 362nd | 31.9% 230th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 104th | 0.18 334th |
The widest gap: S Dakota St's offense (35th) against Wyoming's defense (301st), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Wyoming 23, S Dakota St 40
- First-half margin
- S Dakota St by 17.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.4
- Projected second half
- Wyoming 29, S Dakota St 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 70.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Wyoming, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 29.3 scored, 36.3 allowed
- S Dakota St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 34.0 scored, 33.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Wyoming
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norah ClarkF | 28 | 10.5 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Kati OllilainenG | 27 | 7.4 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Payton MumaG | 24 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ ast 54% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Taylor DonaldsonG | 23 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Liv BlomkvistC | 21 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 25% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Ophelia PowellG | 16 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 36% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Hayley JohnsonF | 15 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 3+ reb 50% | |||||
| Peyton WohlfordF | 14 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 21% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
Missed the last game: Katie Harrington (15 min a game).
S Dakota St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie VaseckaG | 27 | 10.0 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Mahli AbdouchG | 25 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 49% · 4+ ast 58% | |||||
| Brooklyn MeyerF | 25 | 16.4 | 7.3 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
| 15+ pts 57% · 7+ reb 55% · 3+ ast 45% | |||||
| Hadley ThulG | 24 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Emilee FoxG | 23 | 9.4 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 49% · 4+ ast 50% | |||||
| Audrey ShindelarG | 23 | 10.3 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Claire SheppardF | 14 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Maggie HartwigF | 14 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…