George Mason at Princeton
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Jadwin Gymnasium. George Mason our rank 88 · 2-2; Princeton our rank 47 · 4-0.
Who will win George Mason vs Princeton?
The model gives Princeton a 87% chance to beat George Mason, with a projected score of Princeton 76, George Mason 62.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton | |||||
| TallF · 32 min | 20.8 | 9.8 | 2.3 | 20+ 54% | |
| BelkerG · 35 min | 15.1 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 15+ 50% | |
| HutchersonG · 32 min | 11.7 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 10+ 60% | |
| CheaG · 33 min | 8.0 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 10+ 34% | |
| George Mason | |||||
| AmoatengG · 31 min | 13.6 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 15+ 40% | |
| ShealsG · 30 min | 12.8 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 15+ 36% | |
| BobG · 22 min | 8.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 10+ 35% | |
| YancyG · 27 min | 7.8 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 10+ 32% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Fadima Tall: George Mason 25%Princeton 75%
The white mark is the call with her: Princeton 87%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Princeton without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton | ||||
| Fadima Tall | 5.5 | 75% | −12 | 65–73 |
| Olivia Hutcherson | 4.0 | 79% | −8 | 64–74 |
| Skye Belker | 3.4 | 80% | −7 | 64–74 |
| Ashley Chea | 2.5 | 82% | −5 | 63–74 |
| George Mason | ||||
| Mary Amoateng | 3.3 | 92% | +5 | 60–77 |
| Anovia Sheals | 2.6 | 91% | +4 | 61–77 |
| Lourdes Da Silva Costa | 2.0 | 90% | +3 | 61–77 |
| Mary-Kate Tshibuabua | 1.8 | 90% | +3 | 61–77 |
Change is in Princeton's win chance, in points. Scores read George Mason, then Princeton. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
George Mason 2-2WWLL
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 73.5 and allowing 73.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| George Mason | Princeton | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 97.5 93rd | 108.8 23rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 88.8 91st | 90.0 108th |
| Possessions a game | 72.0 179th | 69.1 359th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.9% 148th | 47.6% 62nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.1% 156th | 44.7% 134th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.8% 207th | 23.0% 132nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.2% 157th | 35.3% 68th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 16th | 0.23 63rd |
The widest gap: Princeton's offense (23rd) against George Mason's defense (91st), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- George Mason 29, Princeton 37
- First-half margin
- Princeton by 7.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.3
- Projected second half
- George Mason 33, Princeton 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 72.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- George Mason, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 31.5 scored, 31.5 allowed
- Princeton, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 32.0 scored, 29.2 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
George Mason
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary AmoatengG | 31 | 13.6 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 55% | |||||
| Anovia ShealsG | 30 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Mary-Kate TshibuabuaF | 28 | 6.3 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Summer YancyG | 27 | 7.8 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 46% to play · 10+ pts 32% · 5+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Kayla JohnsonG | 25 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Lourdes Da Silva CostaF | 25 | 6.7 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 5+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Madison BobG | 22 | 8.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 37% | |||||
| Trinity MassenburgF | 15 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 55% | |||||
Missed the last game: Summer Yancy (32 min a game).
Princeton
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skye BelkerG | 35 | 15.1 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Ashley CheaG | 33 | 8.0 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 56% · 4+ ast 58% | |||||
| Fadima TallF | 32 | 20.8 | 9.8 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 20+ pts 54% · 10+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 40% | |||||
| Olivia HutchersonG | 32 | 11.7 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Grace O'SullivanG | 26 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Emily EadieF | 15 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 53% | |||||
| Cristina ParrellaG | 13 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 19% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…