Lindenwood 46, Colorado St 63
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Moby Arena. Lindenwood our rank 236 · 1-3; Colorado St our rank 86 · 2-1.
Who won Lindenwood vs Colorado St?
Final: Colorado State 63, Lindenwood 46. Before tip-off the model gave Colorado State a 87% chance to win, with a projected margin of 15.5 points for Colorado State. Caitlin Kramer scored 14 for Colorado St; Cadence Dykstra had 10 for Lindenwood.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Kloe Froebe: Lindenwood 19%Colorado St 81%
The white mark is the call with her: Colorado St 87%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Colorado St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado St | ||||
| Kloe Froebe | 3.6 | 81% | −6 | 71–83 |
| Camryn Runner | 2.8 | 82% | −5 | 70–83 |
| McKenna Murphy | 2.5 | 83% | −4 | 70–83 |
| Caitlin Kramer | 1.4 | 85% | −2 | 70–84 |
Change is in Colorado St's win chance, in points. Scores read Lindenwood, then Colorado St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Lindenwood
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Colorado St
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Lindenwood | Colorado St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 80.9 306th | 100.7 69th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 92.5 140th | 91.8 131st |
| Possessions a game | 69.8 345th | 69.5 352nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 42.5% 326th | 49.9% 12th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.1% 154th | 43.9% 82nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.6% 190th | 21.0% 19th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.8% 289th | 29.3% 337th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 307th | 0.21 168th |
The widest gap: Colorado St's defense (131st) against Lindenwood's offense (306th), of 363 teams.
First half
Colorado St led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 4.9 points and the total by 24.7.
- At halftime
- Lindenwood 22, Colorado St 26
- Projected halftime score
- Lindenwood 32, Colorado St 41
- First-half margin
- Colorado St by 8.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 72.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Lindenwood
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenna RuckerG | 33 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| Cadence DykstraG | 33 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 1 |
| Violet McNeceG | 26 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Konstantina MantzioriG | 25 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Saniah TylerG | 19 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Jarius PowersC | 18 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Anna McCarnF | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jazlyn PowellF | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Bianca SilvaG | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Colorado St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin KramerG | 39 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 4 |
| Kloe FroebeG | 39 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| Camryn RunnerG | 35 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| McKenna MurphyG | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Heidur KarlsdottirF | 20 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Sophie SeneF | 16 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Gianna SmithG | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Allie RodenG | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Olivia PawlickiF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |