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Georgetown at Temple

Women's · Sunday, November 22, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Liacouras Center. Georgetown our rank 83 · 3-1; Temple our rank 84 · 2-1.

Who will win Georgetown vs Temple?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Temple a 64% chance to beat Georgetown, with a projected score of Temple 73, Georgetown 69.

To winTemple 64%Georgetown 36%
Projected score69–73Georgetown, then Temple
Margin4.3Temple · no line posted
Total142.6no line posted
First half33–35Temple ahead 58%
Georgetown by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20Temple by 30Model: Temple by 4.3Georgetown by 30by 10by 10Temple by 30Model: Temple by 4.3

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Temple
TurnerG · 28 min16.02.42.515+ 55%
LogwoodG · 23 min14.34.61.615+ 45%
CraigF · 30 min12.77.41.815+ 35%
SmithG · 28 min12.57.71.915+ 34%
Georgetown
AgubataG · 22 min12.65.50.915+ 34%
MillerG · 26 min11.42.80.910+ 58%
ByarsF · 30 min10.06.21.510+ 48%
BartholomewG · 21 min8.83.61.110+ 39%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Saniyah Craig: Georgetown 46%Temple 54%

The white mark is the call with her: Temple 64%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsTemple without herChangeProjected score
Temple
Saniyah Craig3.054%−1071–72
Kaylah Turner2.855%−971–72
Tristen Taylor2.157%−770–72
Taliyah Logwood1.958%−670–73
Georgetown
Destiny Agubata2.571%+768–75
Johnea Donahue2.571%+768–75
Khia Miller2.270%+668–75
Brianna Byars1.869%+568–74

Change is in Temple's win chance, in points. Scores read Georgetown, then Temple. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Georgetown 3-1WWWL

    1. Nov 11L 74-78at G Washington
    2. Nov 8W 97-37vs Saint Peter's
    3. Nov 5W 75-65vs American
    4. Nov 2W 84-47vs Delaware St
    Last 4
    3–1, scoring 82.5 and allowing 56.8

    Temple 2-1LWW

    1. Nov 11W 89-67at La Salle
    2. Nov 7W 97-77vs Navy
    3. Nov 2L 71-91at George Mason
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 85.7 and allowing 78.3

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    GeorgetownTemple
    Points scored per 100 possessions99.7 73rd98.4 87th
    Points allowed per 10090.2 112th89.0 93rd
    Possessions a game71.4 234th75.0 12th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)47.7% 60th47.2% 84th
    Opponents' shooting46.5% 242nd47.3% 287th
    Turnovers, share of possessions22.7% 110th23.1% 151st
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses35.8% 53rd37.9% 15th
    Free throws per shot0.26 14th0.22 157th

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Georgetown 33, Temple 35
    First-half margin
    Temple by 2.5
    First-half points, both teams
    67.6
    Projected second half
    Georgetown 37, Temple 38
    Second-half points, both teams
    75.0
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Georgetown, first halves so far
    Led 3 of 4 · 45.2 scored, 29.8 allowed
    Temple, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 39.7 scored, 34.7 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Georgetown

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Brianna ByarsF3010.06.21.50.4
    10+ pts 48% · 6+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 44%
    Johnea DonahueG286.45.04.70.4
    5+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 53% · 5+ ast 49%
    Khia MillerG2611.42.80.90.9
    10+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 53%
    Amanda AjobieweG238.02.71.00.6
    10+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 44%
    Destiny AgubataG2212.65.50.91.8
    15+ pts 34% · 6+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 48%
    Winner BartholomewG218.83.61.10.1
    10+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 28%
    Kendall PerryG165.11.71.10.4
    5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 32%
    Stella LockhartF155.33.20.60.5
    5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 37%

    Temple

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Saniyah CraigF3012.77.41.80.4
    15+ pts 35% · 8+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 51%
    Tristen TaylorG298.33.73.90.7
    10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 47% · 4+ ast 53%
    Shayla SmithG2812.57.71.90.5
    15+ pts 34% · 8+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 53%
    Kaylah TurnerG2816.02.42.52.4
    15+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 41% · 3+ ast 44%
    Taliyah LogwoodG2314.34.61.60.9
    15+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 53%
    Khloe MillerF206.14.30.20.3
    5+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 28%
    Myla BentonG173.72.10.70.4
    5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 32%
    Ariana MeriedyF156.23.10.50.2
    5+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 19%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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