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Georgia Tech at Princeton

Women's · Sunday, November 22, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Jadwin Gymnasium. Georgia Tech our rank 77 · 3-1; Princeton our rank 47 · 4-0.

Who will win Georgia Tech vs Princeton?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Princeton a 81% chance to beat Georgia Tech, with a projected score of Princeton 77, Georgia Tech 66.

To winPrinceton 81%Georgia Tech 19%
Projected score66–77Georgia Tech, then Princeton
Margin10.7Princeton · no line posted
Total142.6no line posted
First half31–37Princeton ahead 72%
Georgia Tech by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30Princeton by 40Model: Princeton by 10.7Georgia Tech by 20Evenby 20Princeton by 40Model: Princeton by 10.7

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Princeton
TallF · 33 min21.210.02.320+ 55%
BelkerG · 35 min15.43.03.715+ 51%
HutchersonG · 32 min11.94.62.010+ 62%
CheaG · 33 min8.24.34.210+ 35%
Georgia Tech
WalkerG · 29 min16.75.11.815+ 59%
OdeG · 26 min10.53.31.810+ 52%
FosterG · 27 min9.94.92.210+ 47%
TermisC · 28 min7.02.82.35+ 65%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Fadima Tall: Georgia Tech 33%Princeton 67%

The white mark is the call with her: Princeton 81%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsPrinceton without herChangeProjected score
Princeton
Fadima Tall5.567%−1469–74
Olivia Hutcherson4.071%−1068–75
Skye Belker3.473%−868–75
Ashley Chea2.575%−667–75
Georgia Tech
Talayah Walker4.590%+964–79
La'Nya Foster2.686%+565–78
Erica Moon2.286%+565–78
Ariadna Termis1.985%+465–78

Change is in Princeton's win chance, in points. Scores read Georgia Tech, then Princeton. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Georgia Tech 3-1WWLW

    1. Nov 12W 89-58vs MD Eastern
    2. Nov 8L 63-81vs West Virginia
    3. Nov 5W 84-58vs Samford
    4. Nov 2W 80-65vs Hofstra
    Last 4
    3–1, scoring 79.0 and allowing 65.5

    Princeton 4-0WWWW

    1. Nov 10W 81-74vs Villanova
    2. Nov 8W 76-74vs Murray St
    3. Nov 6W 65-57at Richmond
    4. Nov 2W 63-52vs Belmont
    Last 4
    4–0, scoring 71.2 and allowing 64.2

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    Georgia TechPrinceton
    Points scored per 100 possessions99.3 77th108.8 23rd
    Points allowed per 10088.3 81st90.0 108th
    Possessions a game74.0 47th69.1 359th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)47.4% 74th47.6% 62nd
    Opponents' shooting47.2% 280th44.7% 134th
    Turnovers, share of possessions23.9% 215th23.0% 132nd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses31.6% 246th35.3% 68th
    Free throws per shot0.21 177th0.23 63rd

    The widest gap: Princeton's offense (23rd) against Georgia Tech's defense (81st), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Georgia Tech 31, Princeton 37
    First-half margin
    Princeton by 6.2
    First-half points, both teams
    67.6
    Projected second half
    Georgia Tech 35, Princeton 40
    Second-half points, both teams
    75.0
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Georgia Tech, first halves so far
    Led 3 of 4 · 39.8 scored, 31.2 allowed
    Princeton, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 4 · 32.0 scored, 29.2 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Georgia Tech

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Talayah WalkerG2916.75.11.81.3
    15+ pts 59% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 52%
    Erica MoonG296.83.13.40.6
    5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 55% · 4+ ast 43%
    Ariadna TermisC287.02.82.30.9
    5+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 54%
    La'Nya FosterG279.94.92.20.7
    10+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 45%
    Jordan OdeG2610.53.31.80.8
    10+ pts 52% · 2+ ast 50% · 1+ threes 52%
    Ines NogueroG184.22.91.10.5
    5+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 40%
    Sofia MunozG163.81.22.20.5
    5+ pts 34% · 2+ ast 61% · 1+ threes 37%
    Leyre UrdiainG154.52.31.00.6
    5+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 41%

    Princeton

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Skye BelkerG3515.43.03.71.8
    15+ pts 51% · 4+ ast 49% · 2+ threes 49%
    Ashley CheaG338.24.34.21.3
    10+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 57% · 4+ ast 59%
    Fadima TallF3321.210.02.31.4
    20+ pts 55% · 10+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 40%
    Olivia HutchersonG3211.94.62.00.1
    10+ pts 62% · 5+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 55%
    Grace O'SullivanG274.42.91.00.5
    5+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 39%
    Emily EadieF153.94.00.50.1
    5+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 52%
    Cristina ParrellaG132.41.50.60.3
    5+ pts 19% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 27%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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