Long Island 52, Rutgers 83
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Jersey Mike’s Arena. Long Island our rank 345 · 0-4; Rutgers our rank 106 · 4-0.
Who won Long Island vs Rutgers?
Final: Rutgers 83, Long Island University 52. Before tip-off the model gave Rutgers a 97% chance to win, with a projected margin of 25.6 points for Rutgers. Mia Pauldo scored 21 for Rutgers; Janessa Williams had 22 for Long Island.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Mia Pauldo: Long Island 5%Rutgers 95%
The white mark is the call with her: Rutgers 97%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Rutgers without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rutgers | ||||
| Mia Pauldo | 3.0 | 95% | −2 | 68–91 |
| Tara Daye | 2.1 | 96% | −1 | 68–91 |
| Jaylah Lampley | 1.9 | 96% | −1 | 67–91 |
| Mya Pauldo | 1.4 | 96% | −1 | 67–91 |
Change is in Rutgers's win chance, in points. Scores read Long Island, then Rutgers. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Long Island
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Rutgers
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Long Island | Rutgers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 77.0 342nd | 97.2 97th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 103.0 340th | 92.4 138th |
| Possessions a game | 72.3 148th | 72.2 156th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.4% 122nd | 44.5% 243rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.4% 116th | 47.9% 311th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 29.4% 357th | 21.0% 18th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.4% 104th | 33.6% 143rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.18 332nd | 0.22 142nd |
The widest gap: Rutgers's offense (97th) against Long Island's defense (340th), of 363 teams.
First half
Rutgers led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 7.3 points and the total by 7.2.
- At halftime
- Long Island 23, Rutgers 45
- Projected halftime score
- Long Island 30, Rutgers 45
- First-half margin
- Rutgers by 14.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 75.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Long Island
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teriyah McFaddenG | 37 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Janessa WilliamsG | 35 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 4 |
| Camille WileyG | 28 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Laura MolnarovaF | 25 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| Leila NunezF | 22 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Kylie MorrisF | 17 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Meagen ScottG | 14 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sydney HuskeyG | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Carmela NunezF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Rutgers
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tara DayeG | 26 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Mia PauldoG | 24 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| Jaylah LampleyG | 22 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Zachara PerkinsG | 21 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Mya PauldoG | 21 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Chikae DesdunesG | 20 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Imani LesterF | 19 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Zennia ThomasF | 16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Natassja KolffF | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |