High Point v Arkansas
Women's · Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at Viejas Arena. High Point our rank 133 · 4-0; Arkansas our rank 108 · 4-0.
Who will win High Point vs Arkansas?
The model gives Arkansas a 54% chance to beat High Point, with a projected score of Arkansas 73, High Point 72.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RobinsonG · 30 min | 11.0 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 10+ 56% | |
| Thomas-HarrisG · 23 min | 10.8 | 7.2 | 0.6 | 10+ 54% | |
| PrestridgeG · 19 min | 9.9 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 10+ 48% | |
| TrammellF · 22 min | 9.5 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 10+ 44% | |
| FeldmanG · 33 min | 16.0 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 15+ 55% | |
| WoodardF · 32 min | 12.1 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 10+ 63% | |
| TippnerG · 31 min | 11.2 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 10+ 57% | |
| GerdesF · 27 min | 9.8 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 10+ 47% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without D'Asia Thomas-Harris: High Point 51%Arkansas 49%
The white mark is the call with her: Arkansas 54%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Arkansas without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Asia Thomas-Harris | 1.6 | 49% | −5 | 73–72 |
| Emily Robinson | 1.5 | 49% | −5 | 73–72 |
| Jianna Morris | 1.4 | 50% | −4 | 73–73 |
| Beautiful Waheed | 1.4 | 50% | −4 | 73–73 |
| Juliann Woodard | 2.7 | 65% | +11 | 71–75 |
| Meredith Tippner | 1.2 | 59% | +5 | 71–74 |
| Taylor Feldman | 1.2 | 59% | +5 | 71–74 |
| Peyton Gerdes | 1.1 | 59% | +5 | 71–74 |
Change is in Arkansas's win chance, in points. Scores read High Point, then Arkansas. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
High Point 4-0WWWW
- Nov 11W 67-54at East Carolina
- Nov 7W 78-71at Ball State
- Nov 4W 75-46vs Wingate
- Nov 2W 88-39vs Lees McRae
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 77.0 and allowing 52.5
Arkansas 4-0WWWW
- Nov 12W 95-90vs AR-Pine Bluff
- Nov 9W 89-81vs Kansas City
- Nov 6W 89-59vs N'Western St
- Nov 2W 127-48vs LSU N Orleans
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 100.0 and allowing 69.5
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| High Point | Arkansas | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 91.6 156th | 97.0 99th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 90.3 113th | 92.7 144th |
| Possessions a game | 72.7 115th | 77.3 1st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.7% 113th | 44.5% 245th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.0% 88th | 47.2% 284th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.1% 72nd | 23.3% 168th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.0% 168th | 37.6% 22nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 263rd | 0.21 170th |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- High Point 34, Arkansas 35
- First-half margin
- Arkansas by 0.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 68.8
- Projected second half
- High Point 38, Arkansas 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 76.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- High Point, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 38.0 scored, 22.5 allowed
- Arkansas, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 51.5 scored, 33.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
High Point
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor FeldmanG | 33 | 16.0 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 5+ reb 46% · 4+ ast 56% | |||||
| Brecken SnotherlyG | 32 | 7.5 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Juliann WoodardF | 32 | 12.1 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 8+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Meredith TippnerG | 31 | 11.2 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 7+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Peyton GerdesF | 27 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Rylee BessG | 23 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Khloe LemonG | 13 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
Arkansas
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily RobinsonG | 30 | 11.0 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Jianna MorrisG | 24 | 8.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 61% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Grace McCallopG | 24 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| D'Asia Thomas-HarrisG | 23 | 10.8 | 7.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 7+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 23% | |||||
| Daniah TrammellF | 22 | 9.5 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Whitley RogersG | 21 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 51% to play · 10+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Kyiah PrestridgeG | 19 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Kateri PooleG | 18 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
Missed the last game: Whitley Rogers (22 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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