LSU N Orleans 48, Arkansas 127
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Bud Walton Arena. LSU N Orleans our rank 359 · 0-4; Arkansas our rank 108 · 4-0.
Who won LSU N Orleans vs Arkansas?
Final: Arkansas 127, LSU New Orleans 48. Before tip-off the model gave Arkansas a 98% chance to win, with a projected margin of 28.7 points for Arkansas. Ayianna Johnson scored 23 for Arkansas; Rhian Comery had 19 for LSU N Orleans.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without D'Asia Thomas-Harris: LSU N Orleans 3%Arkansas 97%
The white mark is the call with her: Arkansas 98%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Arkansas without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas | ||||
| D'Asia Thomas-Harris | 1.6 | 97% | −1 | 70–97 |
| Emily Robinson | 1.5 | 98% | 0 | 70–97 |
| Jianna Morris | 1.4 | 98% | 0 | 70–97 |
| Beautiful Waheed | 1.4 | 98% | 0 | 70–97 |
Change is in Arkansas's win chance, in points. Scores read LSU N Orleans, then Arkansas. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…
Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
LSU N Orleans
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Arkansas
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| LSU N Orleans | Arkansas | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 78.3 331st | 97.0 99th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 109.9 363rd | 92.7 144th |
| Possessions a game | 76.8 2nd | 77.3 1st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.0% 278th | 44.5% 245th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.5% 362nd | 47.2% 284th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 30.5% 362nd | 23.3% 168th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.4% 106th | 37.6% 22nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 73rd | 0.21 170th |
The widest gap: Arkansas's offense (99th) against LSU N Orleans's defense (363rd), of 363 teams.
First half
Arkansas led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 19.5 points and the total by 12.6.
- At halftime
- LSU N Orleans 28, Arkansas 64
- Projected halftime score
- LSU N Orleans 31, Arkansas 48
- First-half margin
- Arkansas by 16.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 79.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
LSU N Orleans
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhian ComeryF | 36 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sophia EdwinG | 35 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Destinie GordonF | 29 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Gianna EricksenG | 26 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jadaya BranchG | 20 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Mackenzie JosephG | 18 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Tajenae GoodenG | 16 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabby EdoC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron DaCostaG | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Arkansas
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily RobinsonG | 25 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| Kyiah PrestridgeG | 20 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| Jianna MorrisG | 20 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Kateri PooleG | 19 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Beautiful WaheedG | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Whitley RogersG | 16 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| D'Asia Thomas-HarrisG | 15 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Grace McCallopG | 15 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Ayianna JohnsonF | 13 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 |