LSU N Orleans at Tulsa
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Reynolds Center. LSU N Orleans our rank 359 · 0-4; Tulsa our rank 129 · 2-1.
Who will win LSU N Orleans vs Tulsa?
The model gives Tulsa a >99% chance to beat LSU New Orleans, with a projected score of Tulsa 86, LSU N Orleans 53.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa | |||||
| CartwrightG · 29 min | 13.0 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 15+ 36% | |
| KinasG · 29 min | 11.6 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 10+ 60% | |
| TomanG · 26 min | 10.9 | 5.4 | 3.5 | 10+ 55% | |
| ClackG · 26 min | 8.5 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 10+ 37% | |
| LSU N Orleans | |||||
| GoodenG · 27 min | 10.7 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 10+ 53% | |
| ComeryF · 25 min | 10.7 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 10+ 53% | |
| GordonF · 24 min | 7.4 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 5+ 68% | |
| EdwinG · 24 min | 6.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5+ 62% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Alexa Kinas: LSU N Orleans 1%Tulsa 99%
The white mark is the call with her: Tulsa >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Tulsa without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa | ||||
| Alexa Kinas | 2.4 | 99% | −1 | 54–85 |
| Dora Toman | 1.9 | 99% | −1 | 54–86 |
| Mady Cartwright | 1.8 | 99% | −1 | 54–86 |
| Jade Clack | 1.3 | 99% | −1 | 54–86 |
Change is in Tulsa's win chance, in points. Scores read LSU N Orleans, then Tulsa. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
LSU N Orleans 0-4LLLL
- Last 4
- 0–4, scoring 54.2 and allowing 109.0
Tulsa 2-1LWW
- Nov 12W 64-62vs Oklahoma StCovered +24.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 7W 67-40vs Rogers State
- Nov 3L 57-63vs Incarnate Word
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 62.7 and allowing 55.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| LSU N Orleans | Tulsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 78.3 331st | 89.5 186th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 109.9 363rd | 87.9 74th |
| Possessions a game | 76.8 2nd | 72.7 115th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.0% 278th | 44.9% 218th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.5% 362nd | 44.1% 100th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 30.5% 362nd | 25.3% 293rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.4% 106th | 29.9% 320th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 73rd | 0.20 262nd |
The widest gap: Tulsa's defense (74th) against LSU N Orleans's offense (331st), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- LSU N Orleans 23, Tulsa 43
- First-half margin
- Tulsa by 19.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 66.2
- Projected second half
- LSU N Orleans 30, Tulsa 44
- Second-half points, both teams
- 73.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- LSU N Orleans, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 23.8 scored, 55.5 allowed
- Tulsa, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 30.0 scored, 21.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
LSU N Orleans
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tajenae GoodenG | 27 | 10.7 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 59% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Rhian ComeryF | 25 | 10.7 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 6+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 22% | |||||
| Sophia EdwinG | 24 | 6.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Destinie GordonF | 24 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 5+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
| Jadaya BranchG | 24 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Gianna EricksenG | 24 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Gabby EdoC | 22 | 6.1 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Mackenzie JosephG | 16 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 15% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 20% | |||||
Tulsa
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mady CartwrightG | 29 | 13.0 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 3+ ast 55% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| Alexa KinasG | 29 | 11.6 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Jade ClackG | 26 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Dora TomanG | 26 | 10.9 | 5.4 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 6+ reb 44% · 4+ ast 45% | |||||
| Alisha PeavyG | 26 | 7.7 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Laura Di StefanoF | 17 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Gina Nikola PirjakG | 15 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 79% to play · 5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Hadar CohenF | 12 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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