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Probable Stats / Women's / Friday, November 20

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LSU N Orleans at Oral Roberts

Women's · Friday, November 20, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Mabee Center. LSU N Orleans our rank 359 · 0-4; Oral Roberts our rank 242 · 2-2.

Who will win LSU N Orleans vs Oral Roberts?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Oral Roberts a 96% chance to beat LSU New Orleans, with a projected score of Oral Roberts 88, LSU N Orleans 66.

To winOral Roberts 96%LSU N Orleans 4%
Projected score66–88LSU N Orleans, then Oral Roberts
Margin21.9Oral Roberts · no line posted
Total154.8no line posted
First half30–43Oral Roberts ahead 88%
LSU N Orleans by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30by 40Oral Roberts by 50Model: Oral Roberts by 21.9LSU N Orleans by 10by 10by 30Oral Roberts by 50Model: Oral Roberts by 21.9

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Oral Roberts
HishawF · 22 min12.56.41.515+ 34%
DonleyF · 28 min10.95.62.110+ 55%
KronbergerG · 23 min9.52.61.710+ 45%
WardF · 25 min9.15.11.910+ 42%
LSU N Orleans
GoodenG · 28 min13.24.03.515+ 38%
ComeryF · 26 min13.06.41.115+ 37%
GordonF · 25 min9.05.61.010+ 41%
EdwinG · 25 min8.02.22.010+ 33%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    LSU N Orleans 0-4LLLL

    1. Nov 12L 61-101at Tulane
    2. Nov 7L 63-90at Texas A&M
    3. Nov 4L 45-118at Alabama
    4. Nov 2L 48-127at Arkansas
    Last 4
    0–4, scoring 54.2 and allowing 109.0

    Oral Roberts 2-2LWWL

    1. Nov 10L 51-99at Kansas
    2. Nov 9W 61-50vs Rogers State
    3. Nov 6W 102-52vs Cameron
    4. Nov 3L 43-99at TCU
    Last 4
    2–2, scoring 64.2 and allowing 75.0

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    LSU N OrleansOral Roberts
    Points scored per 100 possessions78.3 331st90.6 167th
    Points allowed per 100109.9 363rd102.5 332nd
    Possessions a game76.8 2nd74.2 37th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)44.0% 278th44.0% 280th
    Opponents' shooting50.5% 362nd49.7% 355th
    Turnovers, share of possessions30.5% 362nd22.2% 76th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses34.4% 106th30.0% 315th
    Free throws per shot0.23 73rd0.19 311th

    The widest gap: Oral Roberts's offense (167th) against LSU N Orleans's defense (363rd), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    LSU N Orleans 30, Oral Roberts 43
    First-half margin
    Oral Roberts by 12.6
    First-half points, both teams
    73.4
    Projected second half
    LSU N Orleans 36, Oral Roberts 45
    Second-half points, both teams
    81.4
    Tied at the half
    4%
    LSU N Orleans, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 4 · 23.8 scored, 55.5 allowed
    Oral Roberts, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 4 · 32.5 scored, 34.5 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    LSU N Orleans

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Tajenae GoodenG2813.24.03.51.5
    15+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 53% · 4+ ast 46%
    Rhian ComeryF2613.06.41.10.2
    15+ pts 37% · 7+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 30%
    Sophia EdwinG258.02.22.00.9
    10+ pts 33% · 2+ ast 56% · 1+ threes 54%
    Destinie GordonF259.05.61.00.3
    10+ pts 41% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 25%
    Jadaya BranchG256.42.81.50.6
    5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 44%
    Gianna EricksenG245.22.81.40.9
    5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 55%
    Gabby EdoC237.35.31.00.1
    5+ pts 67% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 27%
    Mackenzie JosephG152.33.30.50.3
    5+ pts 17% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 23%

    Oral Roberts

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Kayten DonleyF2810.95.62.10.9
    10+ pts 55% · 6+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 55%
    Gentry BaldwinG278.73.71.91.8
    10+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 49%
    Kaylee WardF259.15.11.91.1
    10+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 54%
    Keelie KronbergerG239.52.61.71.8
    10+ pts 45% · 2+ ast 47% · 2+ threes 49%
    Aubrey HishawF2212.56.41.50.5
    15+ pts 34% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 42%
    Aliyah DuvalG227.53.12.81.0
    5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 52%
    Preslee HartsockG134.41.40.70.5
    5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 37% · 1+ threes 36%
    Azailah FunchesG113.72.90.40.3
    5+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 22%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Fri, Nov 20

    All games
    1. 6 PMprojected 68-67UMass at Boston College, women's: game page
    2. 7 PMprojected 67-68G Washington at Howard, women's: game page
    3. 7 PMprojected 63-59Miami OH at S Indiana, women's: game page
    4. 8 PMprojected 69-71CA Baptist at UC Davis, women's: game page
    5. 8:30 PMprojected 68-64Harvard at Colorado St, women's: game page
    6. 11 PMprojected 69-82Baylor vs USC, women's: game page
    LSU N Orleans next: at Tulsa, Wed, Nov 18 · <1%Oral Roberts next: at Oklahoma, Fri, Nov 13 · <1%LSU N Orleans: schedule and oddsOral Roberts: schedule and odds