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Oral Roberts at Oklahoma

Women's · Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:30 AM ET at Lloyd Noble Center. Oral Roberts our rank 242 · 2-2; Oklahoma AP 14, our rank 13 · 3-0.

Who will win Oral Roberts vs Oklahoma?

Logged before tip-off; never changed after it.

The model gives Oklahoma a >99% chance to beat Oral Roberts, with a projected score of Oklahoma 101, Oral Roberts 56.

To winOklahoma >99%Oral Roberts <1%
Projected score56–101Oral Roberts, then Oklahoma
Margin44.9Oklahoma · no line posted
Total157.5no line posted
First half24–50Oklahoma ahead 96%
Oklahoma by 10by 20by 30by 40by 50by 60Oklahoma by 70Model: Oklahoma by 44.9Oklahoma by 10by 30by 50Oklahoma by 70Model: Oklahoma by 44.9

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Oklahoma
BellF · 23 min16.08.72.115+ 55%
ChavezG · 22 min14.13.34.215+ 43%
WilliamsF · 24 min12.76.94.215+ 35%
StewartF · 20 min11.06.22.610+ 56%
Oral Roberts
HishawF · 22 min8.94.60.910+ 40%
DonleyF · 27 min7.43.91.25+ 69%
KronbergerG · 22 min6.71.80.95+ 62%
WardF · 24 min6.33.61.15+ 59%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Sahara Williams: Oral Roberts <1%Oklahoma >99%

The white mark is the call with her: Oklahoma >99%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsOklahoma without herChangeProjected score
Oklahoma
Sahara Williams5.6>99%059–98
Brooklyn Stewart4.0>99%058–99
Caya Smith4.0>99%058–99
Isimenme Ozzy-Momodu4.0>99%058–99

Change is in Oklahoma's win chance, in points. Scores read Oral Roberts, then Oklahoma. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Oral Roberts 2-2LWWL

    1. Nov 10L 51-99at Kansas
    2. Nov 9W 61-50vs Rogers State
    3. Nov 6W 102-52vs Cameron
    4. Nov 3L 43-99at TCU
    Last 4
    2–2, scoring 64.2 and allowing 75.0

    Oklahoma 3-0WWW

    1. Nov 10W 98-44vs San José St
    2. Nov 8W 95-38vs Morgan St
    3. Nov 2W 91-79vs North Carolina
    Last 3
    3–0, scoring 94.7 and allowing 53.7

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    Oral RobertsOklahoma
    Points scored per 100 possessions90.6 167th113.7 10th
    Points allowed per 100102.5 332nd79.2 18th
    Possessions a game74.2 37th76.3 5th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)44.0% 280th47.8% 56th
    Opponents' shooting49.7% 355th41.6% 18th
    Turnovers, share of possessions22.2% 76th23.5% 182nd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses30.0% 315th41.8% 1st
    Free throws per shot0.19 311th0.20 260th

    The widest gap: Oklahoma's offense (10th) against Oral Roberts's defense (332nd), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Oral Roberts 24, Oklahoma 50
    First-half margin
    Oklahoma by 25.8
    First-half points, both teams
    74.7
    Projected second half
    Oral Roberts 32, Oklahoma 51
    Second-half points, both teams
    82.8
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Oral Roberts, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 4 · 32.5 scored, 34.5 allowed
    Oklahoma, first halves so far
    Led 3 of 3 · 43.7 scored, 27.3 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Oral Roberts

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Kayten DonleyF277.43.91.20.6
    5+ pts 69% · 4+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 45%
    Gentry BaldwinG265.92.61.11.3
    5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 35%
    Kaylee WardF246.33.61.10.8
    5+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 51%
    Aubrey HishawF228.94.60.90.4
    10+ pts 40% · 5+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 32%
    Keelie KronbergerG226.71.80.91.3
    5+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 36%
    Aliyah DuvalG225.32.21.60.7
    5+ pts 49% · 2+ ast 45% · 1+ threes 49%
    Preslee HartsockG143.31.10.40.4
    5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 28% · 1+ threes 30%
    Azailah FunchesG122.92.30.30.2
    5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 18%

    Oklahoma

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Sahara WilliamsF2412.76.94.21.1
    15+ pts 35% · 7+ reb 51% · 4+ ast 59%
    LeeLee BellF2316.08.72.11.2
    15+ pts 55% · 9+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 60%
    Aaliyah ChavezG2214.13.34.21.7
    25% to play · 15+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ threes 47%
    Caya SmithF218.24.61.90.6
    10+ pts 35% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 53%
    Jordan SpeiserG218.33.71.51.8
    10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 49%
    Keziah LoftonG208.43.92.70.6
    10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 49%
    Brooklyn StewartF2011.06.22.60.5
    10+ pts 56% · 6+ reb 55% · 3+ ast 46%
    Sa'Myah SmithF199.76.81.20.5
    10+ pts 46% · 7+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 38%

    Missed the last game: Aaliyah Chavez (25 min a game).

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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