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Probable Stats / Women's / Tuesday, November 17

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Wichita St at Oral Roberts

Women's · Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Mabee Center. Wichita St our rank 280 · 0-3; Oral Roberts our rank 242 · 2-2.

Who will win Wichita St vs Oral Roberts?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Oral Roberts a 71% chance to beat Wichita State, with a projected score of Oral Roberts 73, Wichita St 66.

To winOral Roberts 71%Wichita St 29%
Projected score66–73Wichita St, then Oral Roberts
Margin6.9Oral Roberts · no line posted
Total138.5no line posted
First half31–35Oral Roberts ahead 64%
Wichita St by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30Oral Roberts by 40Model: Oral Roberts by 6.9Wichita St by 20Evenby 20Oral Roberts by 40Model: Oral Roberts by 6.9

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Oral Roberts
HishawF · 23 min11.35.81.310+ 58%
DonleyF · 30 min10.25.31.910+ 49%
KronbergerG · 23 min8.72.41.410+ 38%
WardF · 26 min8.34.71.710+ 36%
Wichita St
MiltonG · 32 min12.15.33.610+ 63%
LeyvaG · 31 min10.03.62.310+ 48%
VincentG · 23 min8.44.41.410+ 36%
LaceyG · 24 min5.53.31.55+ 51%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Wichita St 0-3LLL

    1. Nov 10L 48-76vs Missouri St
    2. Nov 6L 78-83at Kansas City
    3. Nov 2L 41-61at Kansas St
    Last 3
    0–3, scoring 55.7 and allowing 73.3

    Oral Roberts 2-2LWWL

    1. Nov 10L 51-99at Kansas
    2. Nov 9W 61-50vs Rogers State
    3. Nov 6W 102-52vs Cameron
    4. Nov 3L 43-99at TCU
    Last 4
    2–2, scoring 64.2 and allowing 75.0

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    Wichita StOral Roberts
    Points scored per 100 possessions81.8 297th90.6 167th
    Points allowed per 10096.9 237th102.5 332nd
    Possessions a game72.1 164th74.2 37th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)44.4% 254th44.0% 280th
    Opponents' shooting44.6% 126th49.7% 355th
    Turnovers, share of possessions25.7% 315th22.2% 76th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses32.2% 210th30.0% 315th
    Free throws per shot0.23 84th0.19 311th

    The widest gap: Oral Roberts's offense (167th) against Wichita St's defense (237th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Wichita St 31, Oral Roberts 35
    First-half margin
    Oral Roberts by 4.0
    First-half points, both teams
    65.6
    Projected second half
    Wichita St 35, Oral Roberts 38
    Second-half points, both teams
    72.8
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Wichita St, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 3 · 22.7 scored, 36.3 allowed
    Oral Roberts, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 4 · 32.5 scored, 34.5 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Wichita St

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Mari MiltonG3212.15.33.61.0
    10+ pts 63% · 5+ reb 57% · 4+ ast 47%
    Alexis LeyvaG3110.03.62.31.3
    10+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 40%
    Kaylea LaceyG245.53.31.50.4
    5+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 43%
    Ma'Riya VincentG238.44.41.40.4
    10+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 40%
    Kendal RobinsonG164.61.41.00.2
    5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 38% · 2+ ast 26%
    Lili HarrisonF155.34.10.70.0
    5+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 18%
    Clara KoulibalyF143.73.00.20.2
    5+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 15%
    Lily BaF133.82.50.40.4
    5+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 30%

    Oral Roberts

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Kayten DonleyF3010.25.31.90.9
    10+ pts 49% · 2+ ast 53% · 1+ threes 53%
    Gentry BaldwinG288.03.51.71.7
    10+ pts 33% · 2+ ast 47% · 2+ threes 46%
    Kaylee WardF268.34.71.71.0
    10+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 47%
    Keelie KronbergerG238.72.41.41.7
    10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 40% · 2+ threes 46%
    Aubrey HishawF2311.35.81.30.5
    10+ pts 58% · 6+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 37%
    Aliyah DuvalG236.82.82.40.9
    5+ pts 64% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 56%
    Preslee HartsockG133.61.20.50.4
    5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 31% · 1+ threes 32%
    Azailah FunchesG102.92.30.30.2
    5+ pts 24% · 3+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 18%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Tue, Nov 17

    All games
    1. 5 PMprojected 64-68Army at UMass, women's: game page
    2. 6 PMprojected 70-69Temple at G Washington, women's: game page
    3. 7 PMprojected 58-62Seton Hall at Auburn, women's: game page
    4. 7:30 PMprojected 63-77Marquette at Wisconsin, women's: game page
    5. 9:30 PMprojected 63-66Rice at UNLV, women's: game page
    6. 10:30 PMprojected 67-61Washington at Washington St, women's: game page
    Wichita St next: vs UC Riverside, Sat, Nov 14 · 73%Oral Roberts next: at Oklahoma, Fri, Nov 13 · <1%Wichita St: schedule and oddsOral Roberts: schedule and odds