UC Riverside at Wichita St
Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET at Charles Koch Arena. UC Riverside our rank 317 · 1-2; Wichita St our rank 280 · 0-3.
Who will win UC Riverside vs Wichita St?
The model gives Wichita State a 73% chance to beat UC Riverside, with a projected score of Wichita St 66, UC Riverside 59.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wichita St | |||||
| MiltonG · 32 min | 12.3 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 10+ 64% | |
| LeyvaG · 31 min | 10.2 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 10+ 50% | |
| VincentG · 23 min | 8.6 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 10+ 38% | |
| LaceyG · 24 min | 5.6 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 5+ 52% | |
| UC Riverside | |||||
| SwansonG · 28 min | 9.1 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 10+ 41% | |
| ParahiG · 26 min | 8.6 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 10+ 38% | |
| PolkG · 31 min | 8.3 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 10+ 35% | |
| GambleG · 26 min | 7.3 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 5+ 68% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
UC Riverside 1-2WLL
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 65.3 and allowing 68.3
Wichita St 0-3LLL
- Nov 10L 48-76vs Missouri St
- Nov 6L 78-83at Kansas City
- Nov 2L 41-61at Kansas St
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 55.7 and allowing 73.3
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| UC Riverside | Wichita St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 79.7 320th | 81.8 297th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.9 274th | 96.9 237th |
| Possessions a game | 72.5 135th | 72.1 164th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.8% 288th | 44.4% 254th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.0% 214th | 44.6% 126th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.8% 272nd | 25.7% 315th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.5% 297th | 32.2% 210th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 50th | 0.23 84th |
The widest gap: Wichita St's defense (237th) against UC Riverside's offense (320th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- UC Riverside 27, Wichita St 32
- First-half margin
- Wichita St by 4.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 59.2
- Projected second half
- UC Riverside 31, Wichita St 34
- Second-half points, both teams
- 65.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- UC Riverside, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 28.0 scored, 33.3 allowed
- Wichita St, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 22.7 scored, 36.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
UC Riverside
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylani PolkG | 31 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 3+ ast 57% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Taylor SwansonG | 28 | 9.1 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 5+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Graecyn ParahiG | 26 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| London GambleG | 26 | 7.3 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Kyori LloydF | 21 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Amy PatemanG | 20 | 5.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Harisa MehmedovicF | 20 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 50% to play · 5+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
| Alana WhiteF | 13 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 3+ reb 44% | |||||
Missed the last game: Harisa Mehmedovic (20 min a game).
Wichita St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mari MiltonG | 32 | 12.3 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 6+ reb 44% · 4+ ast 52% | |||||
| Alexis LeyvaG | 31 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
| Kaylea LaceyG | 24 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Ma'Riya VincentG | 23 | 8.6 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Kendal RobinsonG | 16 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 39% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| Lili HarrisonF | 15 | 5.4 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Clara KoulibalyF | 14 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 15% | |||||
| Lily BaF | 13 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…