Wichita St 41, Kansas St 61
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Bramlage Coliseum. Wichita St our rank 280 · 0-3; Kansas St our rank 67 · 4-0.
Who won Wichita St vs Kansas St?
Final: Kansas State 61, Wichita State 41. Before tip-off the model gave Kansas State a 99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 32.9 points for Kansas State. Taryn Sides scored 15 for Kansas St; Ma'Riya Vincent had 14 for Wichita St.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Taryn Sides: Wichita St 2%Kansas St 98%
The white mark is the call with her: Kansas St 99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Kansas St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas St | ||||
| Taryn Sides | 4.7 | 98% | −1 | 65–93 |
| Gina Garcia | 3.5 | 98% | −1 | 64–94 |
| Tea Cleante | 1.8 | 99% | 0 | 63–95 |
| Nastja Claessens | 1.7 | 99% | 0 | 63–95 |
Change is in Kansas St's win chance, in points. Scores read Wichita St, then Kansas St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Wichita St
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Kansas St
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Wichita St | Kansas St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 81.8 297th | 94.7 119th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 96.9 237th | 81.9 35th |
| Possessions a game | 72.1 164th | 72.0 179th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.4% 254th | 43.5% 300th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.6% 126th | 42.4% 24th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.7% 315th | 22.3% 81st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.2% 210th | 29.0% 345th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 84th | 0.19 314th |
The widest gap: Kansas St's defense (35th) against Wichita St's offense (297th), of 363 teams.
First half
Kansas St led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 9.9 points and the total by 27.8.
- At halftime
- Wichita St 19, Kansas St 28
- Projected halftime score
- Wichita St 28, Kansas St 47
- First-half margin
- Kansas St by 18.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 74.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Wichita St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mari MiltonG | 36 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 |
| Alexis LeyvaG | 28 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Ma'Riya VincentG | 28 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 2 |
| Kendal RobinsonG | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kaylea LaceyG | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Lily BaF | 14 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Lili HarrisonF | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Clara KoulibalyF | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaliyah BroadusG | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kansas St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nastja ClaessensF | 35 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Shaila NdeF | 32 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| Taryn SidesG | 32 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| Gina GarciaG | 29 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Tea CleanteG | 18 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Tzoana TampakouC | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Cristina OsazuwaF | 15 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Mikayla ParksG | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ivona ScekicC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |