Texas Southern at Tulsa
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 4:30 PM ET at Reynolds Center. Texas Southern our rank 347 · 0-3; Tulsa our rank 129 · 2-1.
Who will win Texas Southern vs Tulsa?
The model gives Tulsa a 99% chance to beat Texas Southern, with a projected score of Tulsa 78, Texas Southern 49.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa | |||||
| CartwrightG · 30 min | 12.4 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 10+ 65% | |
| KinasG · 30 min | 11.1 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 10+ 56% | |
| TomanG · 27 min | 10.4 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 10+ 51% | |
| ClackG · 27 min | 8.1 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 10+ 34% | |
| Texas Southern | |||||
| AdamsF · 21 min | 6.9 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 5+ 64% | |
| CorneliusG · 27 min | 6.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 5+ 60% | |
| BogansG · 23 min | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 5+ 49% | |
| BurnsG · 21 min | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 5+ 38% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Alexa Kinas: Texas Southern 2%Tulsa 98%
The white mark is the call with her: Tulsa 99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Tulsa without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa | ||||
| Alexa Kinas | 2.4 | 98% | −1 | 50–77 |
| Dora Toman | 1.9 | 98% | −1 | 50–77 |
| Mady Cartwright | 1.8 | 98% | −1 | 50–77 |
| Jade Clack | 1.3 | 99% | 0 | 50–77 |
Change is in Tulsa's win chance, in points. Scores read Texas Southern, then Tulsa. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Texas Southern 0-3LLL
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 35.3 and allowing 98.0
Tulsa 2-1LWW
- Nov 12W 64-62vs Oklahoma StCovered +24.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 7W 67-40vs Rogers State
- Nov 3L 57-63vs Incarnate Word
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 62.7 and allowing 55.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Texas Southern | Tulsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 74.8 354th | 89.5 186th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 101.5 318th | 87.9 74th |
| Possessions a game | 74.6 20th | 72.7 115th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 40.0% 360th | 44.9% 218th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.2% 322nd | 44.1% 100th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 26.2% 329th | 25.3% 293rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.2% 270th | 29.9% 320th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.18 344th | 0.20 262nd |
The widest gap: Tulsa's defense (74th) against Texas Southern's offense (354th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Texas Southern 22, Tulsa 38
- First-half margin
- Tulsa by 16.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 60.1
- Projected second half
- Texas Southern 27, Tulsa 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 66.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Texas Southern, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 17.0 scored, 48.0 allowed
- Tulsa, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 30.0 scored, 21.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Texas Southern
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayla CorneliusG | 27 | 6.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Michaela BogansG | 23 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ ast 50% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Marianah AcholF | 23 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 21% · 4+ reb 52% | |||||
| Grace StricklandG | 22 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Kaitlyn AdamsF | 21 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
| Bailey BurnsG | 21 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| DeAvion WilsonG | 18 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 22% · 2+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Jada LandersF | 16 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
Missed the last game: Daniela Vallecilla (16 min a game).
Tulsa
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mady CartwrightG | 30 | 12.4 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 3+ ast 52% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Alexa KinasG | 30 | 11.1 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Jade ClackG | 27 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 5+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Dora TomanG | 27 | 10.4 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 55% · 4+ ast 41% | |||||
| Alisha PeavyG | 26 | 7.4 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Laura Di StefanoF | 17 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Gina Nikola PirjakG | 15 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 79% to play · 5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Hadar CohenF | 12 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 17% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…