Texas Southern at Oklahoma
Women's · Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 9:00 PM ET at Lloyd Noble Center. Texas Southern our rank 347 · 0-3; Oklahoma AP 14, our rank 13 · 3-0.
Who will win Texas Southern vs Oklahoma?
The model gives Oklahoma a >99% chance to beat Texas Southern, with a projected score of Oklahoma 102, Texas Southern 43.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma | |||||
| BellF · 23 min | 16.4 | 9.0 | 2.3 | 15+ 58% | |
| ChavezG · 22 min | 14.4 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 15+ 45% | |
| WilliamsF · 24 min | 13.0 | 7.2 | 4.6 | 15+ 37% | |
| StewartF · 20 min | 11.3 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 10+ 58% | |
| Texas Southern | |||||
| AdamsF · 21 min | 6.1 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 5+ 58% | |
| CorneliusG · 26 min | 5.6 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 5+ 52% | |
| BogansG · 22 min | 4.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 5+ 43% | |
| BurnsG · 21 min | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 5+ 33% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Sahara Williams: Texas Southern <1%Oklahoma >99%
The white mark is the call with her: Oklahoma >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Oklahoma without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma | ||||
| Sahara Williams | 5.6 | >99% | 0 | 46–99 |
| Brooklyn Stewart | 4.0 | >99% | 0 | 45–100 |
| Caya Smith | 4.0 | >99% | 0 | 45–100 |
| Isimenme Ozzy-Momodu | 4.0 | >99% | 0 | 45–100 |
Change is in Oklahoma's win chance, in points. Scores read Texas Southern, then Oklahoma. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Texas Southern 0-3LLL
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 35.3 and allowing 98.0
Oklahoma 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 98-44vs San José St
- Nov 8W 95-38vs Morgan St
- Nov 2W 91-79vs North Carolina
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 94.7 and allowing 53.7
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Texas Southern | Oklahoma | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 74.8 354th | 113.7 10th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 101.5 318th | 79.2 18th |
| Possessions a game | 74.6 20th | 76.3 5th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 40.0% 360th | 47.8% 56th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.2% 322nd | 41.6% 18th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 26.2% 329th | 23.5% 182nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.2% 270th | 41.8% 1st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.18 344th | 0.20 260th |
The widest gap: Oklahoma's defense (18th) against Texas Southern's offense (354th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Texas Southern 18, Oklahoma 51
- First-half margin
- Oklahoma by 33.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 68.8
- Projected second half
- Texas Southern 26, Oklahoma 50
- Second-half points, both teams
- 76.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Texas Southern, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 17.0 scored, 48.0 allowed
- Oklahoma, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 43.7 scored, 27.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Texas Southern
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayla CorneliusG | 26 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Michaela BogansG | 22 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Marianah AcholF | 22 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 18% · 4+ reb 45% | |||||
| Grace StricklandG | 21 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 22% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Kaitlyn AdamsF | 21 | 6.1 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
| Bailey BurnsG | 21 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| DeAvion WilsonG | 18 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 19% · 2+ reb 40% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Jada LandersF | 17 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 25% | |||||
Missed the last game: Daniela Vallecilla (16 min a game).
Oklahoma
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sahara WilliamsF | 24 | 13.0 | 7.2 | 4.6 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 7+ reb 54% · 5+ ast 47% | |||||
| LeeLee BellF | 23 | 16.4 | 9.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 58% · 9+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 40% | |||||
| Aaliyah ChavezG | 22 | 14.4 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 1.8 |
| 25% to play · 15+ pts 45% · 5+ ast 47% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Caya SmithF | 21 | 8.4 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Jordan SpeiserG | 21 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Keziah LoftonG | 20 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Brooklyn StewartF | 20 | 11.3 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 7+ reb 44% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Sa'Myah SmithF | 19 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 7+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
Missed the last game: Aaliyah Chavez (25 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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