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Texas Southern 38, Tulane 92

Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 5:00 PM ET at Avron B. Fogelman Arena in the Devlin Fieldhouse. Texas Southern our rank 347 · 0-3; Tulane our rank 100 · 2-1.

Who won Texas Southern vs Tulane?

Final: Tulane 92, Texas Southern 38. Before tip-off the model gave Tulane a 95% chance to win, with a projected margin of 23.0 points for Tulane. Jayda Brown scored 17 for Tulane; DeAvion Wilson had 7 for Texas Southern.

Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.

The call

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.
To winTulane 95%Texas Southern 5%
Projected score67–90Texas Southern, then Tulane
Margin23.0Tulane · no line posted
Total156.8no line posted
First half31–44Tulane ahead 89%
Texas Southern by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30by 40Tulane by 50Model: Tulane by 23.0Texas Southern by 10by 10by 30Tulane by 50Model: Tulane by 23.0

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Edina Strausz: Texas Southern 7%Tulane 93%

The white mark is the call with her: Tulane 95%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsTulane without herChangeProjected score
Tulane
Edina Strausz3.093%−268–88
Kanija Daniel2.193%−268–89
Khadee Hession2.193%−268–89
Nataliyah Gray1.394%−168–89

Change is in Tulane's win chance, in points. Scores read Texas Southern, then Tulane. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Texas Southern

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    Tulane

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    Texas SouthernTulane
    Points scored per 100 possessions74.8 354th93.5 134th
    Points allowed per 100101.5 318th86.9 65th
    Possessions a game74.6 20th73.0 96th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)40.0% 360th45.7% 156th
    Opponents' shooting48.2% 322nd42.6% 29th
    Turnovers, share of possessions26.2% 329th22.6% 104th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses31.2% 270th31.8% 238th
    Free throws per shot0.18 344th0.23 64th

    The widest gap: Tulane's defense (65th) against Texas Southern's offense (354th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected before tip-off

    Ahead at halftime

    Tulane led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 10.8 points and the total by 20.3.

    At halftime
    Texas Southern 15, Tulane 39
    Projected halftime score
    Texas Southern 31, Tulane 44
    First-half margin
    Tulane by 13.2
    First-half points, both teams
    74.3
    Tied at the half
    4%

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Box score

    Each team's players, most minutes first

    Texas Southern

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    DeAvion WilsonG277331
    Grace StricklandG266502
    Jayla CorneliusG255310
    Marianah AcholF180300
    Daniela VallecillaF172510
    Bailey BurnsG161000
    Jada LandersF157700
    Mame KaneC130100
    Michaela BogansG136200

    Tulane

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Khadee HessionPG2814342
    Jayda BrownG2717623
    Ja'Kyah SmithG2110651
    Kanija DanielG218710
    Asha SraG2011461
    Madison GordonF174350
    Edina StrauszF164510
    Kennedy SimpsonG1510610
    Aizhanique MayoG150100

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