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SC State at High Point

Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Qubein Center. SC State our rank 360 · 1-2; High Point our rank 133 · 4-0.

Who will win SC State vs High Point?

Logged before tip-off; never changed after it.

The model gives High Point a >99% chance to beat South Carolina State, with a projected score of High Point 81, SC State 46.

To winHigh Point >99%SC State <1%
Projected score46–81SC State, then High Point
Margin35.2High Point · no line posted
Total126.7no line posted
First half20–40High Point ahead 95%
High Point by 10by 20by 30by 40by 50by 60High Point by 70Model: High Point by 35.2High Point by 10by 30by 50High Point by 70Model: High Point by 35.2

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
High Point
FeldmanG · 29 min15.54.54.515+ 52%
WoodardF · 28 min11.88.02.310+ 61%
TippnerG · 27 min11.06.82.210+ 56%
GerdesF · 25 min10.04.91.610+ 48%
SC State
ThomasG · 28 min8.33.01.110+ 36%
FordF · 26 min6.62.40.95+ 62%
WebsterG · 30 min6.52.91.05+ 61%
WebsterG · 17 min6.12.41.05+ 57%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Juliann Woodard: SC State <1%High Point >99%

The white mark is the call with her: High Point >99%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsHigh Point without herChangeProjected score
High Point
Juliann Woodard2.7>99%047–80
Meredith Tippner1.2>99%046–80
Taylor Feldman1.2>99%046–80
Peyton Gerdes1.1>99%046–80

Change is in High Point's win chance, in points. Scores read SC State, then High Point. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    SC State 1-2WLL

    1. Nov 10L 50-54vs SC Upstate
    2. Nov 5L 57-76vs Bethune
    3. Nov 2W 112-42vs Trinity College of Jacksonville
    Last 3
    1–2, scoring 73.0 and allowing 57.3

    High Point 4-0WWWW

    1. Nov 11W 67-54at East Carolina
    2. Nov 7W 78-71at Ball State
    3. Nov 4W 75-46vs Wingate
    4. Nov 2W 88-39vs Lees McRae
    Last 4
    4–0, scoring 77.0 and allowing 52.5

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    SC StateHigh Point
    Points scored per 100 possessions70.1 361st91.6 156th
    Points allowed per 100102.5 331st90.3 113th
    Possessions a game74.3 29th72.7 115th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)42.1% 338th46.7% 113th
    Opponents' shooting45.8% 199th44.0% 88th
    Turnovers, share of possessions26.5% 332nd22.1% 72nd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses32.1% 215th33.0% 168th
    Free throws per shot0.21 168th0.20 263rd

    The widest gap: High Point's defense (113th) against SC State's offense (361st), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    SC State 20, High Point 40
    First-half margin
    High Point by 20.3
    First-half points, both teams
    60.1
    Projected second half
    SC State 26, High Point 41
    Second-half points, both teams
    66.6
    Tied at the half
    4%
    SC State, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 2 · 26.0 scored, 27.5 allowed
    High Point, first halves so far
    Led 4 of 4 · 38.0 scored, 22.5 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    SC State

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Adena WebsterG306.52.91.00.4
    5+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 32%
    Chase ThomasG288.33.01.10.7
    10+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 46%
    Monajah FordF266.62.40.91.0
    5+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 57%
    Samiah PuckettC193.74.70.30.0
    5+ pts 33% · 5+ reb 47%
    Ja'dore HayesC185.43.70.60.0
    5+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 48%
    Adena WebsterG176.12.41.00.4
    27% to play · 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 34%
    Alexis MurphyG173.12.10.60.4
    5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 31%
    Paula CarvalhoG163.11.70.60.2
    5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 21%

    Missed the last game: Ariana Simmons (22 min a game) and Adena Webster (24 min a game).

    High Point

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Taylor FeldmanG2915.54.54.51.1
    15+ pts 52% · 5+ reb 44% · 5+ ast 46%
    Brecken SnotherlyG287.35.21.70.4
    5+ pts 68% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 49%
    Juliann WoodardF2811.88.02.31.4
    10+ pts 61% · 8+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 39%
    Meredith TippnerG2711.06.82.20.6
    10+ pts 56% · 7+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 41%
    Peyton GerdesF2510.04.91.60.9
    10+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 55%
    Rylee BessG217.72.21.81.4
    10+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 50%
    Khloe LemonG156.92.10.71.0
    5+ pts 64% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 58%
    Chana PaxixeG123.43.00.70.2
    5+ pts 29% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 17%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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