Who will win SC State vs Winthrop?
The model gives Winthrop a 90% chance to beat South Carolina State, with a projected score of Winthrop 70, SC State 53.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Winthrop | |||||
| RuffG · 24 min | 10.7 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 10+ 53% | |
| Bush-LewisG · 25 min | 8.4 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 10+ 36% | |
| GuileraF · 18 min | 5.8 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 5+ 54% | |
| SilvaG · 24 min | 5.6 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 5+ 52% | |
 SC State | |||||
| ThomasG · 30 min | 10.1 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 10+ 49% | |
| WebsterG · 32 min | 8.0 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 10+ 34% | |
| FordF · 28 min | 7.9 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 10+ 33% | |
| WebsterG · 18 min | 7.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 5+ 66% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
SC State 1-2WLL
- Nov 10L 50-54vs SC Upstate
- Nov 5L 57-76vs Bethune
- Nov 2W 112-42vs Trinity College of Jacksonville
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 73.0 and allowing 57.3
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| SC State | Winthrop | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 70.1 361st | 77.8 337th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.5 331st | 98.6 264th |
| Possessions a game | 74.3 29th | 73.1 92nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 42.1% 338th | 45.6% 162nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.8% 199th | 45.0% 151st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 26.5% 332nd | 27.1% 345th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.1% 215th | 32.2% 209th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 168th | 0.21 163rd |
The widest gap: Winthrop's defense (264th) against SC State's offense (361st), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- SC State 24, Winthrop 34
- First-half margin
- Winthrop by 9.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 58.5
- Projected second half
- SC State 29, Winthrop 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 64.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- SC State, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 2 · 26.0 scored, 27.5 allowed
- Winthrop, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 29.0 scored, 29.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
SC State
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adena WebsterG | 32 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
| Chase ThomasG | 30 | 10.1 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Monajah FordF | 28 | 7.9 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Samiah PuckettC | 20 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 56% | |||||
| Adena WebsterG | 18 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 27% to play · 5+ pts 66% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
| Ja'dore HayesC | 18 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 17% | |||||
| Alexis MurphyG | 16 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Ariana SimmonsG | 16 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 44% to play · 5+ pts 22% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
Missed the last game: Ariana Simmons (22 min a game) and Adena Webster (24 min a game).
Winthrop
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bush-LewisG | 25 | 8.4 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Laura SilvaG | 24 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Madison RuffG | 24 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Ryiah WilsonG | 20 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ ast 50% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Kyra TaylorF | 19 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| Marta GuileraF | 18 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 5+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 27% | |||||
| Maya RobinsonG | 15 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Mya HamiltonG | 15 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 30% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…