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Hampton at High Point

Women's · Monday, November 16, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Qubein Center. Hampton our rank 246 · 1-2; High Point our rank 133 · 4-0.

Who will win Hampton vs High Point?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives High Point a 88% chance to beat Hampton, with a projected score of High Point 72, Hampton 58.

To winHigh Point 88%Hampton 12%
Projected score58–72Hampton, then High Point
Margin14.9High Point · no line posted
Total130.0no line posted
First half27–35High Point ahead 79%
Hampton by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30High Point by 40Model: High Point by 14.9Hampton by 20Evenby 20High Point by 40Model: High Point by 14.9

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
High Point
FeldmanG · 31 min15.54.54.215+ 52%
WoodardF · 31 min11.77.92.110+ 60%
TippnerG · 30 min10.96.72.010+ 55%
GerdesF · 26 min9.74.71.410+ 46%
Hampton
McElrathG · 28 min16.01.61.115+ 55%
BattleG · 27 min8.93.43.410+ 40%
NachevskaF · 17 min5.22.80.85+ 48%
RixterG · 22 min3.63.70.85+ 31%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Juliann Woodard: Hampton 17%High Point 83%

The white mark is the call with her: High Point 88%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsHigh Point without herChangeProjected score
High Point
Juliann Woodard2.783%−559–71
Meredith Tippner1.286%−258–72
Taylor Feldman1.286%−258–72
Peyton Gerdes1.186%−258–72
Hampton
Justus Fitzgerald1.190%+257–73

Change is in High Point's win chance, in points. Scores read Hampton, then High Point. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Hampton 1-2LLW

    1. Nov 9W 103-43vs Apprentice School
    2. Nov 5L 54-66at SMU
    3. Nov 2L 65-73at Houston
    Last 3
    1–2, scoring 74.0 and allowing 60.7

    High Point 4-0WWWW

    1. Nov 11W 67-54at East Carolina
    2. Nov 7W 78-71at Ball State
    3. Nov 4W 75-46vs Wingate
    4. Nov 2W 88-39vs Lees McRae
    Last 4
    4–0, scoring 77.0 and allowing 52.5

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    HamptonHigh Point
    Points scored per 100 possessions86.0 253rd91.6 156th
    Points allowed per 10098.1 257th90.3 113th
    Possessions a game71.4 234th72.7 115th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)42.9% 316th46.7% 113th
    Opponents' shooting45.2% 157th44.0% 88th
    Turnovers, share of possessions22.4% 89th22.1% 72nd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses35.2% 73rd33.0% 168th
    Free throws per shot0.24 30th0.20 263rd

    The widest gap: High Point's defense (113th) against Hampton's offense (253rd), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Hampton 27, High Point 35
    First-half margin
    High Point by 8.6
    First-half points, both teams
    61.6
    Projected second half
    Hampton 31, High Point 37
    Second-half points, both teams
    68.4
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Hampton, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 3 · 32.7 scored, 30.0 allowed
    High Point, first halves so far
    Led 4 of 4 · 38.0 scored, 22.5 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Hampton

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Kiki McElrathG2816.01.61.11.6
    15+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 43% · 2+ threes 43%
    Aaryn BattleG278.93.43.40.8
    10+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 51%
    Zoey RixterG223.63.70.80.2
    5+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 20%
    Maya WoodsonF193.15.20.60.0
    5+ pts 26% · 5+ reb 55%
    Anja NachevskaF175.22.80.80.3
    5+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 25%
    Amiyah DonaldsonG173.51.61.10.4
    5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 34%
    Arlisha BostonG163.01.90.90.6
    5+ pts 25% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 42%
    Justus FitzgeraldF153.02.80.40.0
    5+ pts 25% · 3+ reb 50%

    High Point

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Taylor FeldmanG3115.54.54.21.1
    15+ pts 52% · 5+ reb 44% · 4+ ast 58%
    Brecken SnotherlyG317.35.21.60.4
    5+ pts 67% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 45%
    Juliann WoodardF3111.77.92.11.4
    10+ pts 60% · 8+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 58%
    Meredith TippnerG3010.96.72.00.6
    10+ pts 55% · 7+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 57%
    Peyton GerdesF269.74.71.40.9
    10+ pts 46% · 5+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 54%
    Rylee BessG227.32.11.51.3
    5+ pts 68% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 43%
    Khloe LemonG145.91.80.60.9
    5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 53%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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