Norfolk St at Hampton
Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Convocation Center (VA). Norfolk St our rank 304 · 1-3; Hampton our rank 246 · 1-2.
Who will win Norfolk St vs Hampton?
The model gives Hampton a 74% chance to beat Norfolk State, with a projected score of Hampton 67, Norfolk St 59.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton | |||||
| McElrathG · 29 min | 18.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 20+ 42% | |
| BattleG · 28 min | 10.3 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 10+ 50% | |
| NachevskaF · 17 min | 5.8 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 5+ 55% | |
| RixterG · 22 min | 4.1 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 5+ 37% | |
| Norfolk St | |||||
| PrackettF · 15 min | 7.9 | 4.7 | 0.1 | 10+ 32% | |
| GarrettG · 33 min | 7.7 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 10+ 31% | |
| DavisF · 22 min | 7.4 | 6.4 | 0.7 | 5+ 68% | |
| WorleyG · 32 min | 7.0 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Justus Fitzgerald: Norfolk St 29%Hampton 71%
The white mark is the call with her: Hampton 74%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Hampton without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton | ||||
| Justus Fitzgerald | 1.1 | 71% | −3 | 60–67 |
Change is in Hampton's win chance, in points. Scores read Norfolk St, then Hampton. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Norfolk St 1-3LWLL
- Nov 12L 23-85vs DukeDidn't cover +38.5 · Under 131.5
- Nov 8L 56-72vs Penn
- Nov 4W 62-51vs District of Columbia
- Nov 2L 62-63vs Virginia State
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 50.8 and allowing 67.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Norfolk St | Hampton | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 80.5 313th | 86.0 253rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 97.9 254th | 98.1 257th |
| Possessions a game | 72.1 164th | 71.4 234th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 41.1% 353rd | 42.9% 316th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.7% 337th | 45.2% 157th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.2% 291st | 22.4% 89th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.4% 351st | 35.2% 73rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 166th | 0.24 30th |
The widest gap: Hampton's defense (257th) against Norfolk St's offense (313th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Norfolk St 28, Hampton 32
- First-half margin
- Hampton by 4.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 60.0
- Projected second half
- Norfolk St 32, Hampton 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 66.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Norfolk St, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 21.2 scored, 35.5 allowed
- Hampton, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 32.7 scored, 30.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Norfolk St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sana'a GarrettG | 33 | 7.7 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 56% | |||||
| Cire WorleyG | 32 | 7.0 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Asia KeelsG | 28 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| LeAire NicksC | 24 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 5+ reb 43% | |||||
| Alexis DavisF | 22 | 7.4 | 6.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 18% | |||||
| Niylia WilkinsG | 18 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 79% to play · 5+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Clemisha PrackettF | 15 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 5+ reb 48% | |||||
| Elise McClainG | 11 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 15% · 2+ reb 28% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
Hampton
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiki McElrathG | 29 | 18.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 20+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Aaryn BattleG | 28 | 10.3 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Zoey RixterG | 22 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 26% | |||||
| Maya WoodsonF | 19 | 3.5 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 19% | |||||
| Anja NachevskaF | 17 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
| Amiyah DonaldsonG | 17 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Arlisha BostonG | 16 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Justus FitzgeraldF | 15 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 3+ reb 56% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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