Probable Stats
Menu

Robert Morris at Duquesne

Women's · Monday, November 16, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse. Robert Morris our rank 214 · 2-1; Duquesne our rank 203 · 2-1.

Who will win Robert Morris vs Duquesne?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Duquesne a 66% chance to beat Robert Morris, with a projected score of Duquesne 67, Robert Morris 62.

To winDuquesne 66%Robert Morris 34%
Projected score62–67Robert Morris, then Duquesne
Margin5.1Duquesne · no line posted
Total128.6no line posted
First half29–32Duquesne ahead 60%
Robert Morris by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30Duquesne by 40Model: Duquesne by 5.1Robert Morris by 20Evenby 20Duquesne by 40Model: Duquesne by 5.1

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Duquesne
MooreG · 31 min17.94.01.720+ 38%
ViegasG · 32 min15.32.51.015+ 51%
RippeyG · 20 min8.96.01.510+ 40%
OrenG · 30 min7.25.13.65+ 67%
Robert Morris
TraoreF · 29 min12.65.01.815+ 34%
YeastG · 32 min11.13.92.310+ 56%
LerouxC · 24 min10.35.51.010+ 50%
MurrayG · 26 min7.72.61.610+ 31%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Dunja Zecevic: Robert Morris 36%Duquesne 64%

The white mark is the call with her: Duquesne 66%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsDuquesne without herChangeProjected score
Duquesne
Dunja Zecevic0.764%−262–67
Robert Morris
Timberlynn Yeast1.069%+361–67
Page Greenburg0.768%+261–67
Myriam Traore0.668%+261–67

Change is in Duquesne's win chance, in points. Scores read Robert Morris, then Duquesne. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Robert Morris 2-1LWW

    1. Nov 11W 69-51vs E Michigan
    2. Nov 8W 69-53vs Delaware St
    3. Nov 5L 58-71vs UIC
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 65.3 and allowing 58.3

    Duquesne 2-1LWW

    1. Nov 11W 72-67vs Marist
    2. Nov 8W 97-60vs Clarion
    3. Nov 2L 62-109at Tennessee
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 77.0 and allowing 78.7

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    Robert MorrisDuquesne
    Points scored per 100 possessions84.1 272nd88.8 199th
    Points allowed per 10093.2 153rd96.6 231st
    Possessions a game71.1 272nd73.5 71st
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)43.9% 286th44.6% 237th
    Opponents' shooting47.0% 269th46.6% 247th
    Turnovers, share of possessions25.4% 300th24.5% 263rd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses31.1% 275th33.9% 127th
    Free throws per shot0.22 110th0.20 261st

    The widest gap: Robert Morris's defense (153rd) against Duquesne's offense (199th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Robert Morris 29, Duquesne 32
    First-half margin
    Duquesne by 3.0
    First-half points, both teams
    61.0
    Projected second half
    Robert Morris 33, Duquesne 35
    Second-half points, both teams
    67.6
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Robert Morris, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 36.3 scored, 32.3 allowed
    Duquesne, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 41.3 scored, 36.7 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Robert Morris

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Teigh YeastG3211.13.92.30.9
    10+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 55%
    Myriam TraoreF2912.65.01.81.2
    15+ pts 34% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 52%
    Meghan MurrayG267.72.61.61.0
    10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 46%
    Mackenzie BlackfordG256.31.81.31.3
    5+ pts 59% · 2+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 36%
    Timberlynn YeastG246.85.02.00.4
    5+ pts 63% · 5+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 57%
    Ava LerouxC2410.35.51.00.2
    10+ pts 50% · 6+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 28%
    Page GreenburgG163.51.90.60.7
    5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 45%
    Sira DiarraC112.62.70.30.0
    5+ pts 21% · 3+ reb 47%

    Duquesne

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Carla ViegasG3215.32.51.03.9
    15+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 42% · 4+ threes 49%
    Nadia MooreG3117.94.01.71.3
    20+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 48%
    Ayala OrenG307.25.13.60.8
    5+ pts 67% · 4+ ast 47% · 1+ threes 53%
    Gabby Grantham-MedleyG247.14.52.00.7
    5+ pts 66% · 5+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 49%
    Raevin WashingtonF216.35.70.70.0
    5+ pts 59% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 18%
    De'Naya RippeyG208.96.01.50.5
    10+ pts 40% · 6+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 42%
    Amaya RobinsonG175.31.71.01.1
    5+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 61%
    Maja RohkohlC152.85.80.70.0
    5+ pts 22% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 17%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Mon, Nov 16

    All games
    1. 6 PMprojected 59-59Bryant at Holy Cross, women's: game page
    2. 6:30 PMprojected 63-72Cleveland St at Xavier, women's: game page
    3. 6:30 PMprojected 64-68Yale at Quinnipiac, women's: game page
    4. 8 PMprojected 60-98Troy at LSU, women's: game page
    5. 8 PMprojected 66-65UC Davis at N Colorado, women's: game page
    6. 8 PMprojected 74-66Arkansas at Little Rock, women's: game page