Probable Stats
Menu

Duquesne at Kent State

Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at M.A.C. Center. Duquesne our rank 203 · 2-1; Kent State our rank 189 · 0-2.

Who will win Duquesne vs Kent State?

Logged before tip-off; never changed after it.

The model gives Kent State a 68% chance to beat Duquesne, with a projected score of Kent State 71, Duquesne 65.

To winKent State 68%Duquesne 32%
Projected score65–71Duquesne, then Kent State
Margin6.0Kent State · no line posted
Total136.5no line posted
First half31–34Kent State ahead 62%
Duquesne by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30Kent State by 40Model: Kent State by 6.0Duquesne by 20Evenby 20Kent State by 40Model: Kent State by 6.0

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Kent State
KlattF · 31 min13.28.21.215+ 38%
HauserG · 27 min12.13.53.010+ 63%
RismillerC · 29 min11.97.30.810+ 62%
LuukkonenG · 33 min9.44.12.110+ 44%
Duquesne
MooreG · 30 min17.33.91.615+ 62%
ViegasG · 32 min14.82.41.015+ 48%
RippeyG · 20 min8.65.81.410+ 38%
OrenG · 30 min7.05.03.35+ 65%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Emory Klatt: Duquesne 40%Kent State 60%

The white mark is the call with her: Kent State 68%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsKent State without herChangeProjected score
Kent State
Emory Klatt2.860%−867–70
Riley Rismiller1.863%−566–70
Corynne Hauser0.667%−166–71
Duquesne
Dunja Zecevic0.770%+265–72

Change is in Kent State's win chance, in points. Scores read Duquesne, then Kent State. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Duquesne 2-1LWW

    1. Nov 11W 72-67vs Marist
    2. Nov 8W 97-60vs Clarion
    3. Nov 2L 62-109at Tennessee
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 77.0 and allowing 78.7

    Kent State 0-2LL

    1. Nov 7L 58-61at N Kentucky
    2. Nov 2L 78-89vs Troy
    Last 2
    0–2, scoring 68.0 and allowing 75.0

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    DuquesneKent State
    Points scored per 100 possessions88.8 199th88.2 213th
    Points allowed per 10096.6 231st94.0 172nd
    Possessions a game73.5 71st73.5 71st
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)44.6% 237th43.8% 287th
    Opponents' shooting46.6% 247th46.6% 247th
    Turnovers, share of possessions24.5% 263rd22.7% 116th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses33.9% 127th29.6% 332nd
    Free throws per shot0.20 261st0.24 35th

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Duquesne 31, Kent State 34
    First-half margin
    Kent State by 3.4
    First-half points, both teams
    64.7
    Projected second half
    Duquesne 35, Kent State 37
    Second-half points, both teams
    71.8
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Duquesne, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 41.3 scored, 36.7 allowed
    Kent State, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 2 · 33.0 scored, 37.5 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Duquesne

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Carla ViegasG3214.82.41.03.8
    15+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 40% · 4+ threes 48%
    Nadia MooreG3017.33.91.61.2
    15+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 45%
    Ayala OrenG307.05.03.30.8
    5+ pts 65% · 5+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 52%
    Gabby Grantham-MedleyG246.94.31.90.7
    5+ pts 64% · 2+ ast 53% · 1+ threes 48%
    Raevin WashingtonF216.15.50.70.0
    5+ pts 57% · 6+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 17%
    De'Naya RippeyG208.65.81.40.4
    10+ pts 38% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 39%
    Amaya RobinsonG175.21.60.91.1
    5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 60%
    Maja RohkohlC162.75.70.70.0
    5+ pts 22% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 16%

    Kent State

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Sini LuukkonenG339.44.12.11.3
    10+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 59%
    Emory KlattF3113.28.21.20.2
    15+ pts 38% · 8+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 33%
    Riley RismillerC2911.97.30.80.2
    40% to play · 10+ pts 62% · 7+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 20%
    Corynne HauserG2712.13.53.00.8
    10+ pts 63% · 3+ ast 55% · 1+ threes 51%
    Talia HarrisG278.33.02.20.2
    10+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 61%
    Whitney StaffordG257.92.91.41.5
    10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 40%
    Maddie KiperG183.82.11.00.5
    5+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 40%
    Anna CampanelliG163.72.00.50.4
    5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 34%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Sat, Nov 14

    All games
    1. 2 PMprojected 62-70Rhode Island at St John's, women's: game page
    2. 2 PMprojected 69-67Wisconsin at Green Bay, women's: game page
    3. 3 PMprojected 73-62California at Santa Barbara, women's: game page
    4. 4 PMprojected 74-65North Carolina at Penn, women's: game page
    5. 4:30 PMprojected 72-62Nebraska vs Kansas, women's: game page
    6. 6 PMprojected 69-71Northwestern vs App State, women's: game page