Kent State at Butler
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at Hinkle Fieldhouse. Kent State our rank 189 · 0-2; Butler our rank 56 · 4-0.
Who will win Kent State vs Butler?
The model gives Butler a 97% chance to beat Kent State, with a projected score of Butler 80, Kent State 57.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butler | |||||
| JacksonG · 29 min | 12.3 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 10+ 64% | |
| ValeroG · 27 min | 11.6 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 10+ 59% | |
| SingerG · 28 min | 9.9 | 3.6 | 8.4 | 10+ 47% | |
| JacksonG · 23 min | 9.7 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 10+ 46% | |
| Kent State | |||||
| KlattF · 29 min | 10.3 | 6.5 | 0.8 | 10+ 50% | |
| HauserG · 26 min | 9.6 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 10+ 46% | |
| RismillerC · 27 min | 9.2 | 5.7 | 0.5 | 10+ 42% | |
| LuukkonenG · 31 min | 7.3 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 5+ 68% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Tamar Singer: Kent State 6%Butler 94%
The white mark is the call with her: Butler 97%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Butler without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butler | ||||
| Tamar Singer | 3.6 | 94% | −3 | 59–78 |
| Saniya Jackson | 2.7 | 95% | −2 | 58–78 |
| Nevaeh Jackson | 2.6 | 95% | −2 | 58–78 |
| Lili Krasovec | 2.3 | 95% | −2 | 58–79 |
| Kent State | ||||
| Emory Klatt | 2.8 | 98% | +1 | 56–81 |
| Riley Rismiller | 1.8 | 97% | 0 | 56–81 |
| Corynne Hauser | 0.6 | 97% | 0 | 57–80 |
Change is in Butler's win chance, in points. Scores read Kent State, then Butler. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Kent State 0-2LL
- Nov 7L 58-61at N Kentucky
- Nov 2L 78-89vs Troy
- Last 2
- 0–2, scoring 68.0 and allowing 75.0
Butler 4-0WWWW
- Nov 12W 68-61vs N Dakota St
- Nov 8W 74-42at C Michigan
- Nov 5W 104-57vs Lipscomb
- Nov 2W 108-71vs Tennessee Tech
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 88.5 and allowing 57.8
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Kent State | Butler | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 88.2 213th | 101.4 65th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 94.0 172nd | 85.1 57th |
| Possessions a game | 73.5 71st | 73.2 84th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.8% 287th | 48.2% 42nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.6% 247th | 43.7% 73rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.7% 116th | 22.9% 123rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.6% 332nd | 33.8% 137th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 35th | 0.21 182nd |
The widest gap: Butler's defense (57th) against Kent State's offense (213th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Kent State 26, Butler 39
- First-half margin
- Butler by 13.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.8
- Projected second half
- Kent State 31, Butler 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Kent State, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 2 · 33.0 scored, 37.5 allowed
- Butler, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 37.8 scored, 24.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Kent State
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sini LuukkonenG | 31 | 7.3 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Emory KlattF | 29 | 10.3 | 6.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 7+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
| Riley RismillerC | 27 | 9.2 | 5.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 40% to play · 10+ pts 42% · 6+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 16% | |||||
| Corynne HauserG | 26 | 9.6 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Talia HarrisG | 26 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Whitney StaffordG | 24 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 64% | |||||
| Maddie KiperG | 18 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
| Anna CampanelliG | 16 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
Butler
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevaeh JacksonG | 29 | 12.3 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 57% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Tamar SingerG | 28 | 9.9 | 3.6 | 8.4 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 46% · 9+ ast 45% | |||||
| Judit ValeroG | 27 | 11.6 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Saniya JacksonG | 23 | 9.7 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 5+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Taya EllisF | 19 | 9.6 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 8+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
| Lili KrasovecF | 19 | 8.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Karina BystryG | 17 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Laniah WillsG | 15 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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