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Tennessee Tech 71, Butler 108

Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 11:00 AM ET at Hinkle Fieldhouse. Tennessee Tech our rank 276 · 1-2; Butler our rank 56 · 4-0.

Who won Tennessee Tech vs Butler?

Final: Butler 108, Tennessee Tech 71. Before tip-off the model gave Butler a 83% chance to win, with a projected margin of 13.1 points for Butler. Taya Ellis scored 19 for Butler; Karson Martin had 25 for Tennessee Tech.

Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.

The call

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.
To winButler 83%Tennessee Tech 17%
Projected score72–85Tennessee Tech, then Butler
Margin13.1Butler · no line posted
Total156.6no line posted
First half33–41Butler ahead 76%
Tennessee Tech by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30Butler by 40Model: Butler by 13.1Tennessee Tech by 20Evenby 20Butler by 40Model: Butler by 13.1

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Tamar Singer: Tennessee Tech 25%Butler 75%

The white mark is the call with her: Butler 83%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsButler without herChangeProjected score
Butler
Tamar Singer3.675%−874–83
Saniya Jackson2.778%−573–84
Nevaeh Jackson2.678%−573–84
Lili Krasovec2.379%−473–84
Tennessee Tech
Karson Martin1.085%+271–85
LaReesha Cawthorn1.085%+271–85

Change is in Butler's win chance, in points. Scores read Tennessee Tech, then Butler. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Tennessee Tech

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    Butler

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    Tennessee TechButler
    Points scored per 100 possessions90.1 177th101.4 65th
    Points allowed per 100105.0 348th85.1 57th
    Possessions a game72.6 129th73.2 84th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)45.6% 166th48.2% 42nd
    Opponents' shooting49.9% 357th43.7% 73rd
    Turnovers, share of possessions21.3% 31st22.9% 123rd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses30.5% 298th33.8% 137th
    Free throws per shot0.19 325th0.21 182nd

    The widest gap: Butler's offense (65th) against Tennessee Tech's defense (348th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected before tip-off

    Ahead at halftime

    Butler led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 18.4 points and the total by 11.8.

    At halftime
    Tennessee Tech 30, Butler 56
    Projected halftime score
    Tennessee Tech 33, Butler 41
    First-half margin
    Butler by 7.6
    First-half points, both teams
    74.2
    Tied at the half
    4%

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Box score

    Each team's players, most minutes first

    Tennessee Tech

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Savannah DavisG3911253
    Karson MartinG3725233
    Morgan SieperG3210412
    LaReesha CawthornF25121000
    Lyriq MastinG217230
    Evie FreemanG134120
    Zoey NicholasG110100
    Nyjah GibbsF82200
    Amaya ReddF70300

    Butler

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Nevaeh JacksonG2513440
    Tamar SingerG24103100
    Saniya JacksonG2018410
    Judit ValeroG2010420
    Karina BystryG2010411
    Lili KrasovecF179531
    Laniah WillsG175610
    Taya EllisF1619810
    Jacy WeisbrodG163111

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