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Robert Morris at Akron

Women's · Friday, November 20, 2026, 11:00 AM ET at James A. Rhodes Arena. Robert Morris our rank 214 · 2-1; Akron our rank 230 · 0-3.

Who will win Robert Morris vs Akron?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Akron a 56% chance to beat Robert Morris, with a projected score of Akron 65, Robert Morris 63.

To winAkron 56%Robert Morris 44%
Projected score63–65Robert Morris, then Akron
Margin1.9Akron · no line posted
Total127.4no line posted
First half30–31Akron ahead 53%
Robert Morris by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20Akron by 30Model: Akron by 1.9Robert Morris by 30by 10by 10Akron by 30Model: Akron by 1.9

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Akron
BrewG · 31 min11.74.14.410+ 60%
FeganF · 32 min11.58.11.710+ 59%
ThorntonG · 18 min6.42.20.95+ 60%
MitchellG · 13 min5.51.70.55+ 52%
Robert Morris
TraoreF · 29 min12.95.21.915+ 36%
YeastG · 33 min11.44.02.410+ 58%
LerouxC · 24 min10.55.61.110+ 52%
MurrayG · 27 min7.82.71.710+ 32%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Jessie Joaquim: Robert Morris 48%Akron 52%

The white mark is the call with her: Akron 56%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsAkron without herChangeProjected score
Akron
Jessie Joaquim1.252%−463–64
Macey Fegan1.053%−363–64
Robert Morris
Timberlynn Yeast1.059%+362–65
Page Greenburg0.758%+262–65
Myriam Traore0.658%+262–65

Change is in Akron's win chance, in points. Scores read Robert Morris, then Akron. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Robert Morris 2-1LWW

    1. Nov 11W 69-51vs E Michigan
    2. Nov 8W 69-53vs Delaware St
    3. Nov 5L 58-71vs UIC
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 65.3 and allowing 58.3

    Akron 0-3LLL

    1. Nov 9L 54-70at Xavier
    2. Nov 5L 60-66at George Mason
    3. Nov 2L 74-75vs South Alabama
    Last 3
    0–3, scoring 62.7 and allowing 70.3

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    Robert MorrisAkron
    Points scored per 100 possessions84.1 272nd86.2 248th
    Points allowed per 10093.2 153rd97.1 239th
    Possessions a game71.1 272nd73.7 57th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)43.9% 286th43.0% 313th
    Opponents' shooting47.0% 269th46.2% 224th
    Turnovers, share of possessions25.4% 300th23.3% 168th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses31.1% 275th32.8% 175th
    Free throws per shot0.22 110th0.23 65th

    The widest gap: Robert Morris's defense (153rd) against Akron's offense (248th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Robert Morris 30, Akron 31
    First-half margin
    Akron by 1.1
    First-half points, both teams
    60.4
    Projected second half
    Robert Morris 33, Akron 34
    Second-half points, both teams
    67.0
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Robert Morris, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 36.3 scored, 32.3 allowed
    Akron, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 3 · 29.3 scored, 36.0 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Robert Morris

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Teigh YeastG3311.44.02.41.0
    10+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 56%
    Myriam TraoreF2912.95.21.91.2
    15+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 53%
    Meghan MurrayG277.82.71.71.0
    10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 48%
    Mackenzie BlackfordG256.51.91.31.3
    5+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 36%
    Timberlynn YeastG256.95.12.10.4
    5+ pts 65% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 59%
    Ava LerouxC2410.55.61.10.2
    10+ pts 52% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 29%
    Page GreenburgG163.61.90.60.7
    5+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 46%
    Sira DiarraC112.62.70.30.0
    5+ pts 21% · 3+ reb 47%

    Akron

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Macey FeganF3211.58.11.70.2
    10+ pts 59% · 8+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 49%
    Shaena BrewG3111.74.14.40.7
    10+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 47%
    Tyla HeardG275.24.11.60.7
    5+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 47%
    Jessie JoaquimF245.37.80.30.0
    5+ pts 49% · 8+ reb 49%
    Teniesha ClarkeG193.51.51.00.7
    5+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 47%
    Kaylah ThorntonG186.42.20.90.6
    5+ pts 60% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 43%
    Kailee BransfordG174.52.01.00.5
    5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 37%
    Monique MitchellG135.51.70.50.8
    52% to play · 5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 49%

    Missed the last game: Monique Mitchell (16 min a game).

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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