Ball State at Temple
Women's · Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at Liacouras Center. Ball State our rank 120 · 1-2; Temple our rank 84 · 2-1.
Who will win Ball State vs Temple?
The model gives Temple a 78% chance to beat Ball State, with a projected score of Temple 82, Ball State 72.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temple | |||||
| TurnerG · 28 min | 16.9 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 15+ 60% | |
| LogwoodG · 23 min | 15.2 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 15+ 50% | |
| CraigF · 30 min | 13.5 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 15+ 39% | |
| SmithG · 28 min | 13.3 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 15+ 38% | |
| Ball State | |||||
| KingeryG · 34 min | 15.9 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 15+ 55% | |
| BarnesG · 31 min | 15.8 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 15+ 54% | |
| TowersF · 25 min | 14.9 | 8.9 | 0.9 | 15+ 48% | |
| NormanG · 33 min | 7.2 | 2.4 | 4.4 | 5+ 67% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Saniyah Craig: Ball State 29%Temple 71%
The white mark is the call with her: Temple 78%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Temple without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temple | ||||
| Saniyah Craig | 3.0 | 71% | −7 | 73–80 |
| Kaylah Turner | 2.8 | 71% | −7 | 73–80 |
| Tristen Taylor | 2.1 | 73% | −5 | 73–81 |
| Taliyah Logwood | 1.9 | 74% | −4 | 73–81 |
| Ball State | ||||
| Tessa Towers | 3.5 | 86% | +8 | 70–83 |
| Grace Kingery | 2.7 | 84% | +6 | 71–83 |
| Aniss Tagayi | 1.7 | 82% | +4 | 71–82 |
| Karsyn Norman | 1.4 | 82% | +4 | 71–82 |
Change is in Temple's win chance, in points. Scores read Ball State, then Temple. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Ball State 1-2WLL
- Nov 12L 73-94vs LouisvilleCovered +22.5 · Over 146.5
- Nov 7L 71-78vs High Point
- Nov 2W 84-74vs Arkansas St
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 76.0 and allowing 82.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Ball State | Temple | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.4 75th | 98.4 87th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 95.8 214th | 89.0 93rd |
| Possessions a game | 74.9 14th | 75.0 12th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.9% 214th | 47.2% 84th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.9% 358th | 47.3% 287th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.0% 223rd | 23.1% 151st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.7% 92nd | 37.9% 15th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 26th | 0.22 157th |
The widest gap: Temple's offense (87th) against Ball State's defense (214th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Ball State 34, Temple 39
- First-half margin
- Temple by 5.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 72.8
- Projected second half
- Ball State 38, Temple 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 80.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Ball State, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 31.3 scored, 38.7 allowed
- Temple, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 39.7 scored, 34.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Ball State
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace KingeryG | 34 | 15.9 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 49% · 3+ threes 49% | |||||
| Karsyn NormanG | 33 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 4.4 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 41% · 5+ ast 44% | |||||
| Lilli BarnesG | 31 | 15.8 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| 15+ pts 54% · 7+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Tessa TowersF | 25 | 14.9 | 8.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| 15+ pts 48% · 9+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
| Aniss TagayiG | 22 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Zhen VerburgtG | 19 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Faith WalkerG | 17 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 15% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 21% | |||||
| Helen HolleyG | 16 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
Temple
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saniyah CraigF | 30 | 13.5 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 8+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Tristen TaylorG | 28 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Shayla SmithG | 28 | 13.3 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 8+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Kaylah TurnerG | 28 | 16.9 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 15+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Taliyah LogwoodG | 23 | 15.2 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 15+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Khloe MillerF | 20 | 6.6 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 30% | |||||
| Myla BentonG | 17 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Ariana MeriedyF | 16 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 21% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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