West Georgia 53, Georgia 92
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 5:00 PM ET at Stegeman Coliseum. West Georgia our rank 267 · 2-1; Georgia our rank 43 · 4-0.
Who won West Georgia vs Georgia?
Final: Georgia 92, West Georgia 53. Before tip-off the model gave Georgia a 97% chance to win, with a projected margin of 26.6 points for Georgia. Dakota Howard scored 18 for Georgia; Meghan Gentile had 19 for West Georgia.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Dakota Howard: West Georgia 5%Georgia 95%
The white mark is the call with her: Georgia 97%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Georgia without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | ||||
| Dakota Howard | 3.5 | 95% | −2 | 70–93 |
| Nya Smith | 2.4 | 96% | −1 | 69–93 |
| Jordan Thomas | 2.3 | 96% | −1 | 69–94 |
| Tyreona Sibley | 2.3 | 96% | −1 | 69–94 |
Change is in Georgia's win chance, in points. Scores read West Georgia, then Georgia. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
West Georgia
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Georgia
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| West Georgia | Georgia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 87.4 229th | 102.1 58th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 100.8 309th | 81.8 32nd |
| Possessions a game | 73.0 96th | 72.2 156th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 42.7% 321st | 46.5% 119th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.2% 224th | 44.9% 145th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.9% 53rd | 21.6% 41st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.7% 245th | 33.0% 168th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 120th | 0.23 87th |
The widest gap: Georgia's offense (58th) against West Georgia's defense (309th), of 363 teams.
First half
Georgia led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 15.7 points and the total by 0.2.
- At halftime
- West Georgia 23, Georgia 54
- Projected halftime score
- West Georgia 31, Georgia 46
- First-half margin
- Georgia by 15.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 77.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
West Georgia
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydne TolbertG | 32 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Grace O'GaraG | 32 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Meghan GentileG | 31 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Kobi BarnesF | 29 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Parris ParhamG | 28 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Mya JonesG | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ongolea AfuF | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Trishay CollinsF | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Liyah WilliamsG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Georgia
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubrey BeckhamG | 25 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Dakota HowardF | 22 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Harmonie WareG | 22 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Nya SmithG | 20 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Jailyn BanksG | 19 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Milan BrownG | 19 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordana CodioG | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Blessing AdebanjoF | 16 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyreona SibleyG | 16 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 |