West Georgia at Stonehill
Women's · Friday, November 13, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Merkert Gymnasium. West Georgia our rank 267 · 2-1; Stonehill our rank 338 · 0-3.
Who will win West Georgia vs Stonehill?
The model gives West Georgia a 62% chance to beat Stonehill, with a projected score of West Georgia 73, Stonehill 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TolbertG · 36 min | 14.7 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 15+ 47% | |
| O'GaraG · 35 min | 12.4 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 10+ 64% | |
| GentileG · 29 min | 11.3 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 10+ 58% | |
| ParhamG · 32 min | 9.6 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 10+ 46% | |
| PaquetteG · 26 min | 13.1 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 15+ 37% | |
| RoggenburkC · 26 min | 11.6 | 9.0 | 1.9 | 10+ 59% | |
| SiasC · 25 min | 11.4 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 10+ 58% | |
| PelletierG · 27 min | 8.8 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 10+ 39% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
West Georgia 2-1LWW
- Nov 10W 89-50vs Fort Valley State
- Nov 7W 80-78vs Alabama St
- Nov 2L 53-92at Georgia
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 74.0 and allowing 73.3
Stonehill 0-3LLL
- Nov 8L 63-95at DePaul
- Nov 6L 40-123at Notre DameDidn't cover +45.5 · Over 146.5
- Nov 3L 65-79at Providence
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 56.0 and allowing 99.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| West Georgia | Stonehill | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 87.4 229th | 84.6 267th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 100.8 309th | 107.4 359th |
| Possessions a game | 73.0 96th | 72.2 156th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 42.7% 321st | 45.3% 185th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.2% 224th | 48.9% 340th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.9% 53rd | 27.1% 344th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.7% 245th | 33.2% 159th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 120th | 0.20 278th |
The widest gap: West Georgia's offense (229th) against Stonehill's defense (359th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- West Georgia 35, Stonehill 33
- First-half margin
- West Georgia by 2.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.6
- Projected second half
- West Georgia 38, Stonehill 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 74.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- West Georgia, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 34.3 scored, 36.7 allowed
- Stonehill, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 28.7 scored, 49.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
West Georgia
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydne TolbertG | 36 | 14.7 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| 15+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 49% · 4+ ast 48% | |||||
| Grace O'GaraG | 35 | 12.4 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 47% · 5+ ast 45% | |||||
| Parris ParhamG | 32 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| Meghan GentileG | 29 | 11.3 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Kobi BarnesF | 22 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 6+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
| Mya JonesG | 22 | 7.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Ongolea AfuF | 20 | 5.0 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 6+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
Stonehill
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella PelletierG | 27 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Reese RoggenburkC | 26 | 11.6 | 9.0 | 1.9 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 9+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Brooke PaquetteG | 26 | 13.1 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 41% | |||||
| Megan SiasC | 25 | 11.4 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 5+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Phoena DadsonG | 21 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Breana DelaneyG | 20 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 41% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Julia WebsterF | 17 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
| Rissi SmithG | 15 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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