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West Georgia at Stonehill

Women's · Friday, November 13, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Merkert Gymnasium. West Georgia our rank 267 · 2-1; Stonehill our rank 338 · 0-3.

Who will win West Georgia vs Stonehill?

Logged before tip-off; never changed after it.

The model gives West Georgia a 62% chance to beat Stonehill, with a projected score of West Georgia 73, Stonehill 69.

To winWest Georgia 62%Stonehill 38%
Projected score73–69West Georgia, then Stonehill
Margin3.9West Georgia · no line posted
Total142.5no line posted
First half35–33West Georgia ahead 58%
West Georgia by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20Stonehill by 30Model: West Georgia by 3.9West Georgia by 30by 10by 10Stonehill by 30Model: West Georgia by 3.9

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
West Georgia
TolbertG · 36 min14.73.83.615+ 47%
O'GaraG · 35 min12.43.74.510+ 64%
GentileG · 29 min11.33.91.710+ 58%
ParhamG · 32 min9.63.62.110+ 46%
Stonehill
PaquetteG · 26 min13.12.92.315+ 37%
RoggenburkC · 26 min11.69.01.910+ 59%
SiasC · 25 min11.45.01.010+ 58%
PelletierG · 27 min8.84.83.310+ 39%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    West Georgia 2-1LWW

    1. Nov 10W 89-50vs Fort Valley State
    2. Nov 7W 80-78vs Alabama St
    3. Nov 2L 53-92at Georgia
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 74.0 and allowing 73.3

    Stonehill 0-3LLL

    1. Nov 8L 63-95at DePaul
    2. Nov 6L 40-123at Notre DameDidn't cover +45.5 · Over 146.5
    3. Nov 3L 65-79at Providence
    Last 3
    0–3, scoring 56.0 and allowing 99.0
    Against the spread, this season
    0–1
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 0 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    West GeorgiaStonehill
    Points scored per 100 possessions87.4 229th84.6 267th
    Points allowed per 100100.8 309th107.4 359th
    Possessions a game73.0 96th72.2 156th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)42.7% 321st45.3% 185th
    Opponents' shooting46.2% 224th48.9% 340th
    Turnovers, share of possessions21.9% 53rd27.1% 344th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses31.7% 245th33.2% 159th
    Free throws per shot0.22 120th0.20 278th

    The widest gap: West Georgia's offense (229th) against Stonehill's defense (359th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    West Georgia 35, Stonehill 33
    First-half margin
    West Georgia by 2.3
    First-half points, both teams
    67.6
    Projected second half
    West Georgia 38, Stonehill 37
    Second-half points, both teams
    74.9
    Tied at the half
    4%
    West Georgia, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 34.3 scored, 36.7 allowed
    Stonehill, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 3 · 28.7 scored, 49.0 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    West Georgia

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Sydne TolbertG3614.73.83.61.3
    15+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 49% · 4+ ast 48%
    Grace O'GaraG3512.43.74.51.6
    10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 47% · 5+ ast 45%
    Parris ParhamG329.63.62.11.9
    10+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 51%
    Meghan GentileG2911.33.91.72.4
    10+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 47%
    Kobi BarnesF226.46.00.70.1
    5+ pts 60% · 6+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 15%
    Mya JonesG227.92.11.30.8
    10+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 52%
    Ongolea AfuF205.06.30.80.2
    5+ pts 46% · 6+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 20%

    Stonehill

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Ella PelletierG278.84.83.30.9
    10+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 54%
    Reese RoggenburkC2611.69.01.90.0
    10+ pts 59% · 9+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 54%
    Brooke PaquetteG2613.12.92.31.5
    15+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 41%
    Megan SiasC2511.45.01.00.9
    10+ pts 58% · 5+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 56%
    Phoena DadsonG214.63.31.50.5
    5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 43%
    Breana DelaneyG203.11.51.30.2
    5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 41% · 2+ ast 36%
    Julia WebsterF176.63.81.10.3
    5+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 30%
    Rissi SmithG154.12.11.60.3
    5+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 45%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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    4. 8 PMprojected 71-69Gonzaga at Grand Canyon, women's: game page
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